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Prediction markets for SNP
Will the Scottish Labour Party be the second largest party in Holyrood after the next election?
May 17, 5:42 PMMay 7, 10:59 PM
50%chance
219647
OptionVotes
1181
772
OptionProbability
32
26
18
9
6
6
4
What will be the distribution of seats after the next UK General Election?
May 3, 6:26 AMAug 15, 6:18 AM
9704
OptionProbability
36
30
10
7
5
4
2
2
2
2
In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?
Jul 7, 4:21 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
16563
OptionProbability
93
93
73
62
51
46
43
40
20
17
8
Will there be a Scottish independence referendum (indyref2) by 2030?
Sep 10, 4:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
21.51%chance
16348
OptionVotes
1148
939
How many female British PMs will be Tories before another party elects one?
Apr 22, 1:14 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
7245
OptionProbability
66
50
50
50
50
45
45
31
Will vcf files be replaced with a more elegant way of representing SNPs/genetic variants by 2030?
Oct 5, 4:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
33.35%chance
350
OptionVotes
126
97
Will >50% of Jose Luis Ricon+Chelsea Voss gene pairings have a IQ PRS score of > +1.68 by Savage et al. 2018 study SNPs?
Feb 2, 12:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
56.95%chance
449
OptionVotes
115
87
Will >50% of Razib Khan+Chelsea Voss gene pairings have a IQ PRS score of > +2.18 by Savage et al. 2018 study SNPs?
Feb 2, 12:55 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
48%chance
244
OptionVotes
104
96
Will Stephen Hsu have a IQ PRS score of > +1.68 by Savage et al. 2018 study SNPs?
Feb 2, 12:51 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100