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Prediction markets for SNP
What will be the four largest parties at the next UK general election in order (by number of seats)?
Oct 12, 4:57 PMSep 1, 10:59 PM
173160
OptionProbability
22
18
15
12
8
8
8
5
2
2
OptionProbability
28
27
20
10
8
4
4
What will be the distribution of seats after the next UK General Election?
May 3, 6:26 AMAug 15, 6:18 AM
20936
OptionProbability
35
23
22
9
4
2
2
1
1
1
In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?
Jul 7, 4:21 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
27911
OptionProbability
97
89
73
51
51
50
49
40
27
17
11
Will there be a Scottish independence referendum (indyref2) by 2030?
Sep 10, 4:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
16.12%chance
17698
OptionVotes
1498
859
How many female British PMs will be Tories before another party elects one?
Apr 22, 1:14 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
9280
OptionProbability
84
14
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
33
26
22
10
4
3
2
OptionProbability
66
50
50
50
50
45
45
31
Will vcf files be replaced with a more elegant way of representing SNPs/genetic variants by 2030?
Oct 5, 4:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
33.35%chance
350
OptionVotes
126
97
Will >50% of Jose Luis Ricon+Chelsea Voss gene pairings have a IQ PRS score of > +1.68 by Savage et al. 2018 study SNPs?
Feb 2, 12:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
56.95%chance
449
OptionVotes
115
87
Will >50% of Razib Khan+Chelsea Voss gene pairings have a IQ PRS score of > +2.18 by Savage et al. 2018 study SNPs?
Feb 2, 12:55 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
48%chance
244
OptionVotes
104
96
Will Stephen Hsu have a IQ PRS score of > +1.68 by Savage et al. 2018 study SNPs?
Feb 2, 12:51 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
54.75%chance
213
OptionVotes
110
91
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