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Top stories

Apple Loses AI Researchers as Siri Overhaul Faces 2026 Deadline

Apple Loses AI Researchers as Siri Overhaul Faces 2026 Deadline

Authors

26

4 days ago

Prediction markets for Software

Will some U.S. software engineers be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?

Jan 4, 5:37 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

98.28%chance

19372133

OptionVotes

NO

YES

18268

873

Will there be a >0 value liquidity event for me, a former Consensys Software Inc. employee, on my shares of the company?

Jun 24, 1:17 PMSep 3, 4:00 AM

29.57%chance

1953878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16624

6806

Will there be more software engineers in five years than there are today?

Mar 13, 5:29 PMMar 14, 2:59 PM

56.89%chance

16926597

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12292

5247

Will the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer?

Mar 17, 11:31 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35%chance

6916510

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1363

734

Will Levels.fyi report that software engineer's salaries are lower in 2026 than they were in 2022?

Mar 16, 6:10 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

16.4%chance

9715078

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9194

4582

Will closed source software go extinct within 5 years (2029)?

Aug 14, 3:29 PMAug 15, 5:59 AM

6.09%chance

5310046

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3927

255

By 2030, will over 50% of software development projects be primarily created by AI, with minimal human coding?

Jan 20, 10:38 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

73.37%chance

324363

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1720

264

Will the BLS show growth in software engineer employment through 2029?

May 7, 5:45 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

60.27%chance

282217

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1381

858

Will the BLS predict a net decline in jobs over the occupations "Computer Programmer" and "Software Developer" by 2028?

Aug 23, 5:32 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

50.69%chance

151254

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1267

594

Will the software engineer's salaries/ per capita GDP ratio be lower in 2026 than in 2022, per Levels.fyi?

Apr 2, 7:42 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

50.91%chance

18681

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

984

TN-1 Status for Canadian Software Engineers

May 9, 9:24 PMDec 31, 10:18 PM

69.01%chance

7645

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3517

2659

Will we see significant software patent reform in the USA before 2030?

Jan 31, 6:28 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

27.92%chance

12608

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1017

983

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 10, 2025
Aug 10, 2025
AI Modeling
AI Products
AI
Apple Loses AI Researchers as Siri Overhaul Faces 2026 Deadline
Authors
26
4 days ago

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