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Prediction markets for Software
Will some U.S. software engineers be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?
Jan 4, 5:37 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
98.28%chance
19372133
OptionVotes
18268
873
Will there be a >0 value liquidity event for me, a former Consensys Software Inc. employee, on my shares of the company?
Jun 24, 1:17 PMSep 3, 4:00 AM
29.57%chance
1953878
OptionVotes
16624
6806
Will there be more software engineers in five years than there are today?
Mar 13, 5:29 PMMar 14, 2:59 PM
56.89%chance
16926597
OptionVotes
12292
5247
Will the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer?
Mar 17, 11:31 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
35%chance
6916510
OptionVotes
1363
734
Will Levels.fyi report that software engineer's salaries are lower in 2026 than they were in 2022?
Mar 16, 6:10 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM
16.4%chance
9715078
OptionVotes
9194
4582
Will closed source software go extinct within 5 years (2029)?
Aug 14, 3:29 PMAug 15, 5:59 AM
6.09%chance
5310046
OptionVotes
3927
255
By 2030, will over 50% of software development projects be primarily created by AI, with minimal human coding?
Jan 20, 10:38 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
73.37%chance
324363
OptionVotes
1720
264
Will the BLS show growth in software engineer employment through 2029?
May 7, 5:45 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM
60.27%chance
282217
OptionVotes
1381
858
Will the BLS predict a net decline in jobs over the occupations "Computer Programmer" and "Software Developer" by 2028?
Aug 23, 5:32 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM
50.69%chance
151254
OptionVotes
1267
594
Will the software engineer's salaries/ per capita GDP ratio be lower in 2026 than in 2022, per Levels.fyi?
Apr 2, 7:42 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM
50.91%chance
18681
OptionVotes
1010
984
OptionVotes
3517
2659
Will we see significant software patent reform in the USA before 2030?
Jan 31, 6:28 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
27.92%chance
12608
OptionVotes
1017
983
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