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Prediction markets for Sol
OptionVotes
3780
1384
Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
Apr 3, 6:33 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM
48%chance
254212390
OptionVotes
1260
987
Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?
Apr 18, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
18.58%chance
103162323
OptionVotes
108745
17863
Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?
Sep 1, 11:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
45.46%chance
452132699
OptionVotes
3455
2670
Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?
Oct 1, 3:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
30.35%chance
238109670
OptionVotes
4804
137
OptionVotes
1091
928
Will at least 80 percent of solar modules deployed in the US in 2026 be manufactured in the US?
Aug 11, 3:53 AMOct 1, 3:59 AM
16.41%chance
6821620
OptionVotes
22296
4846
Will anyone solve my partner's depression before 2027? [M$1,000,000 bounty]
Sep 29, 5:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.5%chance
4312501
OptionVotes
17554
5697
Will the sky be clear in Sydney during the 2028 total solar eclipse?
Mar 8, 3:07 AMJul 22, 11:59 PM
58.13%chance
187433
OptionVotes
11782
8487
Storage devices with neural networks pre-loaded sold in major electronics retailers by end of 2035
Jan 5, 5:22 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
29.98%chance
217286
OptionVotes
15272
6552
OptionVotes
415
24
Will there be a trend spike for the term "Sol Invictus" before 2035?
May 21, 9:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
40.95%chance
7213
OptionVotes
120
83