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Prediction markets for Sol
OptionVotes
2782
1521
Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
Apr 3, 6:33 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM
68.68%chance
293279439
OptionVotes
1812
597
Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?
Apr 18, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
63.56%chance
154223270
OptionVotes
58291
46413
Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?
Oct 1, 3:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
66.26%chance
293135408
OptionVotes
4893
31
OptionVotes
1074
722
Will at least 80 percent of solar modules deployed in the US in 2026 be manufactured in the US?
Aug 11, 3:53 AMOct 1, 3:59 AM
12.57%chance
7025658
OptionVotes
26258
4181
Will anyone solve my partner's depression before 2027? [M$1,000,000 bounty]
Sep 29, 5:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20.73%chance
4814501
OptionVotes
19554
5114
Will the leaked OpenAI "GPT 5.6 Sol" proof that nonsofic groups exist be verified as correct?
Aug 1, 6:35 AMAug 1, 6:31 AM
97.77%chance
914025
OptionVotes
6625
151
Will the sky be clear in Sydney during the 2028 total solar eclipse?
Mar 8, 3:07 AMJul 22, 11:59 PM
58.13%chance
187433
OptionVotes
11782
8487
Will GPT 5.6 Sol be available at 700+ tok/s on Cerebras when released to the public?
Jun 26, 7:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
23.4%chance
81120
OptionVotes
1067
978
OptionVotes
415
24
Will there be a trend spike for the term "Sol Invictus" before 2035?
May 21, 9:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
56.2%chance
8243
OptionVotes
113
88