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NO

YES

YES

NO

YES

NO

NO

YES

YES

NO

NO

US allies with significant US troop presence (>10% of their own active military) and/or US-land-border e.g. Germany, Japan, Bahrain, Canada

US allies with moderate US troop presence (1-10% of their own active military) e.g. UK, Italy, Spain, South Korea, Australia

Russia-China allies within connected defence pacts e.g. Belarus, Kazakhstan, North Korea

Russia-China allies outside connected defence pacts e.g. Cuba, Syria, Iran

US allies with negligible US troop presence (<1% of their own active military) but within connected defence pacts e.g. France, Brazil

US allies with negligible US troop presence and outside connected defence pacts e.g. Switzerland, Ukraine, Taiwan

Nations outside both US and Russia-China geopolitical spheres e.g. India, South Africa, Indonesia

Russia

The US