Standing Committee News

5 months ago

Will the Fed change its 2% inflation target before the end of Trump’s term?

Dec 14, 1:34 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

18.29%chance

4610088

OptionVotes

YES

1576

823

Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?

Feb 15, 12:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

346121

OptionProbability

Other

Li Qiang (Premier, 2nd rank PSC member)

Ding Xuexiang (Vice Premier, 6th rank PSC member)

Chen Jining (Party Secretary of Shanghai)

Wang Yang (former Chairman of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference)

Zhang Youxia (Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission)

[Nobody] (Xi Jinping does not have a successor as General Secretary)

Wang Huning (tourist, political theorist, and 4th rank PSC member)

Zhao Leji (3rd rank PSC member, chairman of NPC Standing Committee)

Li Xi (7th rank PSC member, Secretary of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection)

Wang Yi (Foreign Minister)

Chen Min'er (Party Secretary of Tianjin)

Yuan Jiajun (Party Secretary of Chongqing)

Yin Li (Party Secretary of Beijing)

Li Shulei (Head of Party Publicity)

Cai Qi (5th rank PSC member, first-ranked of Secretariat)

Chen Wenqing (Secretary of the Central Political and Legal Affairs Commission)

Which Labour MP(s) will mount a leadership challenge against Keir Starmer? [Add Answers]

Oct 27, 1:50 PMDec 28, 1:45 PM

52685

OptionProbability

Wes Streeting

Angela Rayner

Shabana Mahmood

Jess Phillips

Ed Milliband

Will any member of the Politburo Standing Committee of the CCP be removed from their position before Autumn 2027?

Nov 2, 12:26 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM

46.12%chance

5119

OptionVotes

YES

105

Will Xi Jinping choose a successor in 2027?

Nov 2, 3:02 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM

21.34%chance

7112

OptionVotes

YES

163

Any current member of the CCP's Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) dies in a plane crash

Aug 23, 5:48 PMAug 13, 6:59 AM

23%chance

466

OptionVotes

YES

154

When will the first Politburo Standing Committee of the Chinese Communist Party to include a woman be chosen?

Mar 27, 3:12 AMJan 27, 3:59 PM

350

OptionProbability

2032

2037

2042

2047

2027

Will a 'civilian' Vice Chairman of Central Military Committee of the CCP be elected before Autumn 2032?

Nov 2, 1:14 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM

40.34%chance

442

OptionVotes

YES

Any current or past member of the CCP's Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) dies in a plane crash

Aug 23, 5:48 PMAug 13, 6:59 AM

32.06%chance

331

OptionVotes

YES

119

Will Xi Jinping choose a successor in 2032?

Nov 2, 3:05 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM

65.89%chance

325

OptionVotes

YES

115

Will a 'civilian' Vice Chairman of Central Military Committee of the CCP be elected before Autumn 2027?

Nov 2, 1:11 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

Standing Committee News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Standing Committee

Prediction markets for Standing Committee

Prediction markets for Standing Committee

Will the Fed change its 2% inflation target before the end of Trump’s term?

Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?

Which Labour MP(s) will mount a leadership challenge against Keir Starmer? [Add Answers]

Will any member of the Politburo Standing Committee of the CCP be removed from their position before Autumn 2027?

Will Xi Jinping choose a successor in 2027?

Any current member of the CCP's Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) dies in a plane crash

When will the first Politburo Standing Committee of the Chinese Communist Party to include a woman be chosen?

Will a 'civilian' Vice Chairman of Central Military Committee of the CCP be elected before Autumn 2032?

Any current or past member of the CCP's Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) dies in a plane crash

Will Xi Jinping choose a successor in 2032?

Will a 'civilian' Vice Chairman of Central Military Committee of the CCP be elected before Autumn 2027?

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