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Top stories

Indonesian Constitutional Court Bans Deputy Ministers From Holding Multiple Positions Including BUMN Roles in Case 128/PUU-XXIII/2025

Indonesian Constitutional Court Bans Deputy Ministers From Holding Multiple Positions Including BUMN Roles in Case 128/PUU-XXIII/2025

Authors

3

3 months ago

Prediction markets for State Ministries

What will be the dominant unit of economic power used by humans in 2040?

Nov 4, 4:21 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

7139573

OptionProbability

US Dollar (USD)*

Chinese Renminbi (CNY)*

Euro (EUR)*

Bitcoin (BTC)*

Unit of Computation (FLOP/IOP, etc.)

Energy-based Unit (Joule/Wh, etc.)

Ethereum (ETH)*

Gold (Au)

Reputation-based Currency (e.g., Whuffie points)

Emission-Linked Financial Instrument (e.g., carbon coin)

Worldcoin (WLD)*

Paperclips

Utilitarian Value-based Currency (DALY, QALY, dead children, etc.)

TRUMP

Manifold Mana

57

32

24

8

8

8

7

6

6

6

5

4

4

4

2

What countries would join Abraham Accords in 2025

Oct 13, 8:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

192227

OptionProbability

None

Kazakhstan

Azerbaijan

Saudi Arabia

Armenia

Indonesia

Syria

Qatar

Lebanon

74

28

24

14

10

6

5

3

2

Greenland becomes a US state by December 31st 2025

Jan 8, 6:51 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

1.09%chance

141841

OptionVotes

YES

NO

953

10

First confirmed Tomahawk use by Ukraine

Oct 14, 11:34 AMFeb 1, 12:32 PM

11701

OptionProbability

Before February 2026

Before January 2026

Before December 2025

Before November 2025

42

21

10

0

Brazil reaches US agreement on Trump tariffs this year?

Oct 27, 6:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.25%chance

11628

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

84

MCRE Resources (Perak) receives approval to resume operations in 2025?

Nov 21, 4:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.21%chance

4480

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1180

847

Turkish troops stationed in Gaza by end of 2025?

Oct 9, 2:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.14%chance

13347

OptionVotes

YES

NO

361

28

The Ministry for the Future Predictions: will there be a cryptocurrency tied to CO2 capture and storage by 2040?

Feb 8, 12:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.73%chance

11204

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1000

980

Will Honduras restablish diplomatic ties with the Republic of China (Taiwan) before 2027?

Nov 28, 1:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33%chance

771

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

70

Who DOSsed Finnish Defence Ministry web pages? (suggest answers, may take time to resolve)

Sep 25, 1:19 AMOct 2, 8:59 PM

368

OptionProbability

Russia

Other

Malta

Iran

North Korea

Non state actor

China

Israel

USA

30

12

10

9

9

9

8

8

7

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