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Top stories

Moraes Brushes Off U.S. Sanctions, Presses Bolsonaro Coup Trial

US Foreign Policy

Moraes Brushes Off U.S. Sanctions, Presses Bolsonaro Coup Trial

Authors

11

18 hours ago

UK Supreme Court Hands Banks Partial Win in Car Finance Commission Case

UK Supreme Court Hands Banks Partial Win in Car Finance Commission Case

Authors

15

21 hours ago

U.S. Judges Halt Trump Push for Fast Deportations and TPS Rollback

US Domestic Policy

U.S. Judges Halt Trump Push for Fast Deportations and TPS Rollback

Authors

7

18 hours ago

US Foreign Policy

Trump Opens Door to Talks With Lula on 50% Tariffs

Authors

7

16 hours ago

Mexico Judge Clears Israel Vallarta After Nearly 20 Years

Authors

9

23 hours ago

Federal Appeals Court Questions Trump’s IEEPA Tariff Authority Ahead of Trade Deadline With DOJ Defense in Doubt

Authors

14

1 day ago

Panama Comptroller Seeks to Void CK Hutchison Canal Port Concession

Authors

5

2 days ago

DOJ, Maxwell Clash at Supreme Court Over Epstein Plea Deal

Authors

20

5 days ago

Prediction markets for Supreme Court

Will the next Supreme Court justice be appointed by a Democrat?

Jul 22, 12:56 PMDec 2, 5:59 AM

8.61%chance

9741510

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3135

225

Will the U.S. Supreme Court hold Trump or a member of his Cabinet in contempt?

Apr 28, 7:36 PMFeb 28, 8:36 PM

12.63%chance

2017738

OptionVotes

YES

NO

26303

3802

If Trump self-pardons, will the Supreme Court rule the action unconstitutional?

Sep 19, 12:44 AMDec 26, 4:59 AM

28.82%chance

5710723

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1680

309

When will the U.S. Supreme Court stop having a conservative majority?

Apr 12, 7:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

336718

OptionProbability

After 2070 (or never)

2036-2040

2029-2035

2061-2065

2041-2045

2046-2050

2066-2070

By 2028

2051-2055

2056-2060

40

18

14

10

5

3

3

2

2

2

Will Donald Trump appoint at least 2 Supreme Court Justices during his second term?

Nov 7, 6:15 PMJan 20, 8:59 PM

36.49%chance

424923

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1319

758

Will Trump refuse to carry out or obey any Supreme Court decisions?

Mar 7, 12:05 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

75.9%chance

394722

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3864

2046

Supreme Court upholds unconstitutionality of broad tariffs?

May 29, 12:35 AMJan 1, 1:23 AM

68.88%chance

384517

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1488

672

Supreme Court grants certiorari in Monsanto v. Durnell before 2026?

May 19, 4:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.08%chance

124156

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5323

2519

Will Sonia Sotomayor still be on the Supreme Court at the end of 2026?

Apr 12, 5:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

85.14%chance

432980

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2911

1733

Will the New York Times case against OpenAI and Microsoft go to Supreme court?

Dec 28, 2:40 PMMay 31, 7:00 AM

30.18%chance

612626

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1035

967

Will the United States Supreme Court receive a challenge to gender identity as a protected class before 2026?

Apr 30, 12:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.6%chance

141516

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1710

250

William Baude admitted to Supreme Court Bar by EOY2030?

Jun 7, 10:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.2%chance

6820

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10578

9454

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