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Prediction markets for Target
Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
Apr 21, 4:34 AMDec 31, 6:00 PM
5.91%chance
5592910
OptionVotes
2723
789
Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1400 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - bear case)
Jun 19, 10:10 PMDec 31, 6:00 PM
12.22%chance
3559401
OptionVotes
1284
911
Will the first Starship catch attempt target a launch from Pad A, booster catch on tower A, and ship catch on tower B?
Jan 24, 3:34 AMJun 1, 1:59 PM
2.93%chance
817596
OptionVotes
5760
174
Is your phone listening to everything you say and using this to target ads?
Dec 12, 6:29 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
6.2%chance
8810382
OptionVotes
2959
1241
Will the Fed change its 2% inflation target before the end of Trump’s term?
Dec 14, 1:34 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM
17.84%chance
4810173
OptionVotes
1609
816
Will there be a nuclear strike on a civilian or military target by 2030?
Nov 20, 1:09 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
29.01%chance
322810
OptionVotes
1564
639
Will at least three "Will AI wipe out humanity" markets targeting timelines under 100 years be above 50%?
Jun 4, 12:37 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM
16.87%chance
211789
OptionVotes
1398
837
Will a NATO aircraft shoot down a missile or drone fired towards a target in Ukraine before 2027?
Apr 15, 7:34 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM
37.56%chance
231333
OptionVotes
1310
735
Will someone I know be targeted by a generative AI based scam by EoY 2028?
Feb 23, 2:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
85.46%chance
22789
OptionVotes
1544
854
Does RL harm off-target capabilities? Is that temporary?
Dec 4, 12:08 PMDec 5, 12:04 PM
49.37%chance
9369
OptionVotes
1013
988
Will someone I know be targeted by a generative AI based scam by EoY 2026?
Feb 23, 6:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
69.65%chance
15361
OptionVotes
998
986
OptionProbability
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
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