OptionProbability
Direct military engagement between either G20 members, or the use of nuclear weapons
Nothing Ever Happens (Nothing Happens)
An AI kills a human without explicitly being given a task
350+ million climate-displaced persons annually
Other (10m+ deaths)
US Treasury payment default or missed obligation
Worldwide Pandemic
29
27
8
7
4
OptionVotes
NO
YES
994
550
Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives
Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)
Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs
Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies
Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies
55
53
51
50
28
117
90
112
68
