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Tasmanian Labor News

    Prediction markets for Tasmanian Labor

    OptionProbability

    VONC called

    Another early state election before 2029

    Second VONC Called

    Second VONC Succeeds

    Rockliff leads minority government for at least 1 year

    Liberals form supply and confidence agreement in support of Rockliff

    Another early state election within 1 year

    Liberals form coalition agreement in support of Rockliff

    Labor forms government/Labor MP holds Premiership at any point

    Labor-Green formal coalition in government (with or without formal independent support)

    VONC succeeds (Rockliff ousted)

    100

    87

    66

    50

    48

    34

    24

    22

    17

    4

    0

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