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Top stories

Texas Republicans Fail to Approve Trump-Backed Congressional Maps as Democrats Block Redistricting, Flood Relief Ahead of 2026 Midterms

Authors

6

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Texas Democratic

Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?

Jan 29, 12:35 AMNov 4, 12:00 AM

51%chance

267181511

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1799

1224

Which Texas US House Districts will a Democrat win?

Mar 18, 2:19 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

1531814

OptionProbability

Texas 28th district

Texas 34th district

Texas 35th district

Texas 15th District

Texas 9th district

Texas 32nd District

Texas 23rd district

Texas 17th district

Texas 2nd District

Texas 5th District

Texas 12th District

Texas 1st District

74

74

52

42

27

27

24

15

13

11

11

7

Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2028 presidential election?

Jul 25, 12:20 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

13.23%chance

18928

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1774

1354

Which Texas House Districts will the Democrats win in the 2026 midterms?

Jul 29, 7:21 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

1871

OptionProbability

Texas' 7th Congressional District

Texas' 16th Congressional District

Texas' 18th Congressional District

Texas' 20th Congressional District

Texas' 29th Congressional District

Texas' 30th Congressional District

Texas' 33rd Congressional District

Texas' 37th Congressional District

Texas' 28th Congressional District

Texas' 34th Congressional District

Texas' 15th Congressional District

Texas' 35th Congressional District

Texas' 9th Congressional District

Texas' 23rd Congressional District

Texas' 32nd Congressional District

Texas' 10th Congressional District

Texas' 14th Congressional District

Texas' 24th Congressional District

Texas' 25th Congressional District

Texas' 26th Congressional District

Texas' 27th Congressional District

Texas' 31st Congressional District

Texas' 36th Congressional District

Texas' 38th Congressional District

Texas' 17th Congressional District

Texas' 1st Congressional District

Texas' 2nd Congressional District

Texas' 3rd Congressional District

Texas' 4th Congressional District

Texas' 5th Congressional District

Texas' 6th Congressional District

Texas' 8th Congressional District

Texas' 11th Congressional District

Texas' 12th Congressional District

Texas' 13th Congressional District

Texas' 19th Congressional District

Texas' 21st Congressional District

Texas' 22nd Congressional District

83

83

83

83

83

83

83

83

72

59

50

50

38

38

38

28

24

24

24

24

24

24

24

24

20

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

Democrats win Texas, Michigan, Alaska and Maine for Senate in 2026?

Aug 7, 9:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.51%chance

10754

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1121

926

Will a Democratic presidential candidate win Texas before 2033?

Apr 27, 8:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41%chance

19740

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1315

687

Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas this year? (Kalshi)

Jun 8, 3:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.61%chance

11715

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1034

969

Will the Democrats win any statewide election in Texas by the end of 2030?

Apr 2, 4:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.48%chance

20558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1086

845

Will a Democrat win Texas for President by 2050?

Apr 20, 2:22 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

77.81%chance

18473

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1276

897

Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2032?

Oct 23, 12:11 AMJan 1, 6:00 PM

53%chance

9159

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

77

Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2038?

Oct 23, 12:14 AMJan 1, 6:00 PM

69.11%chance

451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

124

68

Will Democrats win the Texas Commissioner of Agriculture Election?

Jun 8, 3:50 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

36.62%chance

125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1025

955

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
US Elections
US Legislation
Texas
Texas Republicans Fail to Approve Trump-Backed Congressional Maps as Democrats Block Redistricting, Flood Relief Ahead of 2026 Midterms
Authors
6
1 year ago

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