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Prediction markets for Texas Democrats
Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
Jan 29, 12:35 AMNov 4, 12:00 AM
37.93%chance
216154173
OptionVotes
1671
1443
OptionProbability
87
12
1
1
If this person wins the 2026 Texas Senate seat Democratic primary, will they become Senator?
Dec 9, 1:41 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM
183169
OptionProbability
39
22
16
If James Talarico is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Feb 3, 4:02 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM
38.97%chance
412702
OptionVotes
125
80
Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2028 presidential election?
Jul 25, 12:20 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
12.44%chance
17912
OptionVotes
1882
1338
Will a Democratic presidential candidate win Texas before 2033?
Apr 27, 8:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
41%chance
19740
OptionVotes
1315
687
How many of the redrawn Texas districts will Democrats win, out of the attempted Democrat to GOP flips?
Oct 25, 12:46 AMNov 10, 11:59 PM
5599
OptionProbability
34
34
12
11
8
2
OptionVotes
1276
897
Will the Democrats win any statewide election in Texas by the end of 2030?
Apr 2, 4:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
56.48%chance
19458
OptionVotes
1086
845
Who will win the 2026 Democratic primary for Texas's 18th congressional district?
Feb 19, 11:36 AMMay 26, 12:00 AM
10346
OptionProbability
81
19
Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2026?
Oct 23, 12:08 AMJan 1, 6:00 PM
38%chance
19304
OptionVotes
99
82
Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2038?
Oct 23, 12:14 AMJan 1, 6:00 PM
69.11%chance
451
OptionVotes
124
68
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