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Prediction markets for The Atlantic

Will the North Atlantic Current collapse before 2030?

Jul 29, 11:00 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

10.51%chance

266269

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1865

833

Will the Gulf Stream system (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation) collapse before end of 2025?

Jul 26, 10:02 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3.16%chance

225345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2513

889

Will Trump kill or neuter Vox or The Atlantic during his term?

Jan 16, 5:09 PMJan 20, 10:59 PM

13.59%chance

143292

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2522

397

How many named storms will there be in the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season?

May 23, 7:00 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

53112

Will the Gulf Stream system (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation) collapse before end of 2030?

Jul 26, 10:03 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

10.62%chance

332105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1954

804

Will the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) collapse before the end of 2050?

Jul 31, 10:15 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

32.07%chance

15844

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1438

702

Will the North Atlantic right whale be considered functionally extinct before 2040?

Jun 12, 4:48 PMDec 12, 11:59 PM

75.49%chance

20452

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1041

800

Will a category 5 hurricane form during the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season?

Oct 9, 1:02 PMDec 1, 7:59 AM

51.64%chance

9378

OptionVotes

NO

YES

103

97

Will the North Atlantic Right Whale (Eubalaena glacialis) become extinct in the current century?

Apr 22, 8:38 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

86.77%chance

5364

OptionVotes

NO

YES

802

402

Will any of the first 5 named hurricanes of the Atlantic Hurricane Season make landfall?

May 8, 6:30 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

90.32%chance

5315

OptionVotes

NO

YES

305

33

Will there be 110 or more retired Atlantic hurricane names by the end of 2028?

Dec 9, 12:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.07%chance

6223

OptionVotes

YES

NO

305

50

How many Atlantic hurricane names will be retired for the 2025 season?

Apr 5, 9:31 PMApr 12, 10:59 PM

441

OptionProbability

0

1

2

3

4 or more

27

19

19

19

17

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