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How active will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season be?

May 2, 5:37 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

3516734

OptionProbability

Below normal (2.53 < ACE < 73)

Near-normal ( 73 < ACE < 126.1)

Above normal (126.1 < ACE < 159.6)

Record low (ACE < 2.53)

Hyperactive (ACE > 159.6)

Record high (ACE > 258.47)

Will the North Atlantic Current collapse before 2030?

Jul 29, 11:00 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

10.66%chance

296501

OptionVotes

YES

1841

836

Which storm names used in the 2026 North Atlantic Hurricane Season?

Apr 9, 7:28 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

104020

OptionProbability

Arthur

Bertha

Cristobal

Dolly

Edouard

Fay

Gonzalo

Hanna

Isaias

Josephine

Kyle

Leah

Marco

Nana

Omar

Paulette

Rene

Sally

Teddy

Vicky

Wilfred

100

Will Trump kill or neuter Vox or The Atlantic during his term?

Jan 16, 5:09 PMJan 20, 10:59 PM

13.4%chance

153312

OptionVotes

YES

2542

393

Will the Gulf Stream system (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation) collapse before end of 2030?

Jul 26, 10:03 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

14.85%chance

392818

OptionVotes

YES

1450

876

Will the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) collapse by 2030?

Oct 2, 8:17 PMJan 1, 10:21 PM

15.21%chance

211418

OptionVotes

YES

422

216

Will the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) collapse before the end of 2050?

Jul 31, 10:15 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

36.61%chance

191064

OptionVotes

YES

1297

775

Will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season produce at least 3 hurricanes by October 15?

Aug 22, 10:07 PMOct 15, 11:59 PM

4.17%chance

14674

OptionVotes

YES

514

Will the North Atlantic Right Whale (Eubalaena glacialis) become extinct in the current century?

Apr 22, 8:38 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

81.51%chance

5575

OptionVotes

YES

591

441

Will the wild population of North Atlantic Right Whale (Eubalaena glacialis) become Extinct by 2100?

Apr 24, 11:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81.54%chance

2551

OptionVotes

YES

1051

238

Will the North Atlantic right whale be considered functionally extinct before 2040?

Jun 12, 4:48 PMDec 12, 11:59 PM

75.49%chance

20452

OptionVotes

YES

1041

800

Will there be 110 or more retired Atlantic hurricane names by the end of 2028?

Dec 9, 12:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.06%chance

6267

OptionVotes

YES

261

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Prediction markets for The Atlantic

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Prediction markets for The Atlantic

How active will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season be?

Will the North Atlantic Current collapse before 2030?

Which storm names used in the 2026 North Atlantic Hurricane Season?

Will Trump kill or neuter Vox or The Atlantic during his term?

Will the Gulf Stream system (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation) collapse before end of 2030?

Will the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) collapse by 2030?

Will the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) collapse before the end of 2050?

Will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season produce at least 3 hurricanes by October 15?

Will the North Atlantic Right Whale (Eubalaena glacialis) become extinct in the current century?

Will the wild population of North Atlantic Right Whale (Eubalaena glacialis) become Extinct by 2100?

Will the North Atlantic right whale be considered functionally extinct before 2040?

Will there be 110 or more retired Atlantic hurricane names by the end of 2028?

Latest stories

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