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How active will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season be?

May 2, 5:37 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

319617

OptionProbability

Below normal (2.53 < ACE < 73)

Near-normal ( 73 < ACE < 126.1)

Above normal (126.1 < ACE < 159.6)

Hyperactive (ACE > 159.6)

Record low (ACE < 2.53)

Record high (ACE > 258.47)

Will the North Atlantic Current collapse before 2030?

Jul 29, 11:00 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

10.66%chance

296501

OptionVotes

YES

1841

836

Will Trump kill or neuter Vox or The Atlantic during his term?

Jan 16, 5:09 PMJan 20, 10:59 PM

13.4%chance

153312

OptionVotes

YES

2542

393

Will the Gulf Stream system (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation) collapse before end of 2030?

Jul 26, 10:03 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11.83%chance

372736

OptionVotes

YES

1778

826

Which storm names used in the 2026 North Atlantic Hurricane Season?

Apr 9, 7:28 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

52489

OptionProbability

Arthur

Bertha

Cristobal

Dolly

Edouard

Fay

Gonzalo

Hanna

Isaias

Josephine

Kyle

Leah

Marco

Nana

Omar

Paulette

Rene

Sally

Teddy

Vicky

Wilfred

100

Will the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) collapse before the end of 2050?

Jul 31, 10:15 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

35.06%chance

16982

OptionVotes

YES

1343

750

What month will be most active in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?

May 19, 11:51 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

4957

OptionProbability

October

September

August

November

June

July

Will the North Atlantic Right Whale (Eubalaena glacialis) become extinct in the current century?

Apr 22, 8:38 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

81.51%chance

5575

OptionVotes

YES

591

441

Will the wild population of North Atlantic Right Whale (Eubalaena glacialis) become Extinct by 2100?

Apr 24, 11:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81.54%chance

2551

OptionVotes

YES

1051

238

Will the North Atlantic right whale be considered functionally extinct before 2040?

Jun 12, 4:48 PMDec 12, 11:59 PM

75.49%chance

20452

OptionVotes

YES

1041

800

Will the Atlantic create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 10:34 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

22.75%chance

11171

OptionVotes

YES

275

177

Will the atlantic horseshoe crabs US and Yucatan pops,. Be split in seperate species by the IUCN when next reassessed

Dec 10, 4:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.81%chance

425

OptionVotes

YES

115

105

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The Atlantic News

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Prediction markets for The Atlantic

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Prediction markets for The Atlantic

How active will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season be?

Will the North Atlantic Current collapse before 2030?

Will Trump kill or neuter Vox or The Atlantic during his term?

Will the Gulf Stream system (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation) collapse before end of 2030?

Which storm names used in the 2026 North Atlantic Hurricane Season?

Will the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) collapse before the end of 2050?

What month will be most active in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?

Will the North Atlantic Right Whale (Eubalaena glacialis) become extinct in the current century?

Will the wild population of North Atlantic Right Whale (Eubalaena glacialis) become Extinct by 2100?

Will the North Atlantic right whale be considered functionally extinct before 2040?

Will the Atlantic create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will the atlantic horseshoe crabs US and Yucatan pops,. Be split in seperate species by the IUCN when next reassessed

Latest stories

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