The Collective News

WNBA Faces October 31 CBA Deadline Amid Record 2.5 Million Fans, Clark’s Impact, and Potential Lockout

1 year ago

By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about someone's brain signals being collected or analyzed without their consent?

Feb 9, 10:58 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

40%chance

24919563

OptionVotes

YES

2714

1726

Will Armenia withdraw from the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) by the end of 2027?

Oct 26, 4:29 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

43.97%chance

171698

OptionVotes

YES

1376

291

Will Armenia withdraw from the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) by the end of 2026?

Oct 26, 4:29 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

39.19%chance

16891

OptionVotes

YES

183

Will the United States confiscate privately owned gold collections before 2035?

Mar 29, 6:56 PMDec 31, 10:00 AM

3.25%chance

10823

OptionVotes

YES

614

116

By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about data collected from people's brain signals?

Feb 9, 10:57 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

48.85%chance

15544

OptionVotes

YES

1079

873

Will members of the Gale Family collectively receive over $50,000 by being family-style "Man-Influencers" (Manifold Influencers) by 2050?

Dec 30, 7:28 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

5.38%chance

9374

OptionVotes

YES

249

156

Will there be a high-profile collective lawsuit in the USA over long-term side-effects of a COVID-19 vaccine by 2060?

Aug 31, 11:30 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.16%chance

12212

OptionVotes

YES

237

158

Will the EU directly collect a tax before 2035?

May 3, 10:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.7%chance

6191

OptionVotes

YES

101

Will the Research Domain Criteria term return more than 50,000 results on Web of Science core collection, on 01/01/2030?

Mar 7, 12:56 PMJan 1, 11:00 AM

24.48%chance

2182

OptionVotes

YES

108

Will the Smithsonian Institute sell, destroy, or otherwise deaccession parts of its collection by the end of 2026?

Mar 28, 9:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5173

OptionProbability

1 or more item deaccessioned

10 or more items deaccessioned

100 or more items deaccessioned

5 or more items specifically destroyed

1 or more item deaccessioned specifically for "improper ideology"

Will there be a new record for most expensive stamp collecting related item by the end of 2026?

Oct 17, 4:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.82%chance

5113

OptionVotes

YES

201

Will chatGPT (or an analogue) be able to query the entire text of anyone's entire Goodreads collection list by EOY 2027?

Feb 22, 2:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

66.22%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

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Aug 26, 2025
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WNBA Faces October 31 CBA Deadline Amid Record 2.5 Million Fans, Clark’s Impact, and Potential Lockout
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1 year ago

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Prediction markets for The Collective

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Prediction markets for The Collective

By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about someone's brain signals being collected or analyzed without their consent?

Will Armenia withdraw from the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) by the end of 2027?

Will Armenia withdraw from the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) by the end of 2026?

Will the United States confiscate privately owned gold collections before 2035?

By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about data collected from people's brain signals?

Will members of the Gale Family collectively receive over $50,000 by being family-style "Man-Influencers" (Manifold Influencers) by 2050?

Will there be a high-profile collective lawsuit in the USA over long-term side-effects of a COVID-19 vaccine by 2060?

Will the EU directly collect a tax before 2035?

Will the Research Domain Criteria term return more than 50,000 results on Web of Science core collection, on 01/01/2030?

Will the Smithsonian Institute sell, destroy, or otherwise deaccession parts of its collection by the end of 2026?

Will there be a new record for most expensive stamp collecting related item by the end of 2026?

Will chatGPT (or an analogue) be able to query the entire text of anyone's entire Goodreads collection list by EOY 2027?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram