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Top stories

Nigerian Fuji Star K1 De Ultimate Blacklisted for Blocking Plane, NCAA Seeks Prosecution; Aviation Minister Confirms Ban

Nigerian Fuji Star K1 De Ultimate Blacklisted for Blocking Plane, NCAA Seeks Prosecution; Aviation Minister Confirms Ban

Authors

5

5 days ago

Prediction markets for the Federation

Will Jerome Powell cease to hold the office of Chair of the Federal Reserve before 2026?

Jan 22, 11:16 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

11.24%chance

285654621

OptionVotes

YES

NO

25955

5842

Balance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?

Sep 19, 12:51 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

149199246

OptionProbability

R President, R Senate, D House

R Pres, D Senate, D House

R President, R Senate, R House - Republican Trifecta

R President, D Senate, R House

D President, D Senate, D House - Democrat Trifecta

D President, R Senate, R House

D President, D Senate, R House

D President, R Senate, D House

61

20

17

2

0

0

0

0

Will marijuana be federally descheduled from a Schedule 1 illegal drug in the USA before the end of 2025?

Mar 6, 7:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.36%chance

8275949

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1702

369

If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 5:12 AMNov 3, 7:59 AM

40.27%chance

9437894

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7364

5394

Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024?

Jan 22, 3:39 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

88.28%chance

3136946

OptionVotes

NO

YES

25582

5728

Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026?

Jan 22, 4:05 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12%chance

2423827

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12196

9630

Elon Musk charged with a federal crime before the end of day on December 31, 2025

Feb 3, 12:35 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.79%chance

4421879

OptionVotes

YES

NO

21175

7616

Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?

Aug 18, 12:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

57.71%chance

8118684

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1157

893

One of Elon Musk’s college aged henchmen charged with a federal crime before the end of day on December 31, 2025

Feb 3, 5:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.13%chance

2813985

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20852

5932

Will Trump tout (positively promote) the possibility of default on US federal debt at any time during his second term?

Feb 2, 9:27 AMFeb 1, 1:59 PM

53.76%chance

419642

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11501

8468

Will the Federal Government effectively ban the use of gas stoves in new construction by 2026?

Jan 13, 12:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

9.11%chance

1414725

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3527

1816

Will there be any significant legislation or executive orders cancelling vote-by-mail in the 2026 federal elections?

Feb 21, 2:05 AMJan 4, 7:59 AM

44.45%chance

141602

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10441

9624

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