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Prediction markets for The GIST
Will this Richard Hanania article on trans ideology hold up?
Oct 6, 4:51 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
68.47%chance
6813447
OptionVotes
1559
237
Global Average Temperature Aug 2025 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
Jul 1, 11:55 AMSep 13, 11:59 PM
107451
OptionProbability
39
34
20
4
1
1
1
1
When will I judge that Trump's second term policies have a tangible, involuntary impact on my life?
Mar 14, 4:13 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
231974
OptionProbability
31
30
21
13
5
Global Average Temperature Sep 2025 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
Aug 11, 8:40 PMOct 11, 11:59 PM
31077
OptionProbability
23
23
16
14
11
7
6
OptionVotes
1054
921
Will Will Bosi climb "all" 9A (V17) boulders? [Read description]
Feb 25, 2:05 PMFeb 27, 9:25 PM
18.73%chance
5127
OptionVotes
238
57