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Top stories

Report Finds ChatGPT Relies on Google Search Data

Report Finds ChatGPT Relies on Google Search Data

Authors

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3 months ago

Solana Pushes for ETF as PancakeSwap Volume Surges Past $500 Million

Solana Pushes for ETF as PancakeSwap Volume Surges Past $500 Million

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4 months ago

Apple Weighs Mistral and Perplexity Deals in Bid to Boost AI

Apple Weighs Mistral and Perplexity Deals in Bid to Boost AI

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Musk’s xAI Recruits Dozens of Ex-Google Engineers to Speed AI Push

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Walmart Renegotiates Exclusive Deal With Amazon Rival The Trade Desk Amid Fee Complaints and Stock Decline

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4 months ago

Prediction markets for The Information

Will Manifold leak KYC information by the end of 2026?

Sep 20, 9:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.76%chance

155268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2880

347

It is possible for information to travel faster than the speed of light

Jan 8, 6:38 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7.27%chance

192304

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1308

943

Will the Information Commissioner of Canada Resign in 2025?

Jul 18, 7:01 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

22.85%chance

91839

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1837

544

By 2050, will informed people significantly reduce their belief in the extent of free will they possess?

May 19, 8:29 PMDec 31, 7:00 AM

50.18%chance

171774

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1030

965

Will I endorse Ben Pace's "Sharing Information About Nonlinear" article was given what was known at the time, in 5 years

Sep 10, 10:38 AMSep 17, 10:59 PM

46.43%chance

91725

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1074

931

Will a reliable useful neural device that transmits information about users thoughts be released before the end of 2028?

Nov 6, 11:56 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

53.5%chance

181694

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1059

917

Trump Declassifies Major information regarding the JFK assassination.

Nov 8, 2:49 AMJan 7, 5:59 AM

41.32%chance

161305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

84

Will "The Information: OpenAI shows 'Strawberry' to..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Aug 28, 5:03 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

7.55%chance

21015

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1811

908

Will we find or make a wormhole to another observable universe that lets information flow both ways by the end of 2100?

Jul 27, 1:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.55%chance

15385

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1104

965

Are AI and its effects are the most important existential risk, given only public information available in 2021?

Mar 24, 2:35 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

89.19%chance

14354

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1329

932

Will the paper be reproduced by 2028?: Transduction of DNA information through water and electromagnetic waves

Mar 23, 7:58 PMJan 31, 7:59 AM

15.37%chance

5197

OptionVotes

YES

NO

309

99

Will the US fund defensive information security R&D for limiting unintended proliferation of dangerous AI models by 2028

Apr 28, 1:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.47%chance

5105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

115

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