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Top stories

OpenAI Raises $8.3 Billion at $300 Billion Valuation Amid Revenue Surge

OpenAI Raises $8.3 Billion at $300 Billion Valuation Amid Revenue Surge

Authors

47

1 day ago

Kraken Seeks $500 Million at $15 Billion Value, Eyes Possible IPO

Kraken Seeks $500 Million at $15 Billion Value, Eyes Possible IPO

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4 days ago

Report Says OpenAI’s GPT-5 Nears Launch After Setbacks, Gains Modest

Report Says OpenAI’s GPT-5 Nears Launch After Setbacks, Gains Modest

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20

21 hours ago

Zhipu AI Projects Revenue to Quadruple in 2025

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Pentagon Tests In-House AI to Cut Reliance on Palantir

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8 days ago

Apple’s AI Team Sputters After Federighi Blocks Open-Source Plan

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Microsoft Prepared to Walk Away From OpenAI Equity Talks

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1 month ago

Prediction markets for The Information

How many FBI informants will be shown to have been involved in the events at the U.S. Capitol on January 6, 2021?

Sep 28, 8:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

216845

OptionProbability

11-30

More than 100

61-100

31-60

1-10

Zero

58

23

20

11

9

6

Will Manifold leak KYC information by the end of 2026?

Sep 20, 9:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20%chance

143892

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2000

500

It is possible for information to travel faster than the speed of light

Jan 8, 6:38 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7.27%chance

192304

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1308

943

By 2050, will informed people significantly reduce their belief in the extent of free will they possess?

May 19, 8:29 PMDec 31, 7:00 AM

50.18%chance

171774

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1030

965

Will I endorse Ben Pace's "Sharing Information About Nonlinear" article was given what was known at the time, in 5 years

Sep 10, 10:38 AMSep 17, 10:59 PM

46.43%chance

91725

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1074

931

Will a reliable useful neural device that transmits information about users thoughts be released before the end of 2028?

Nov 6, 11:56 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

50.26%chance

181633

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1119

852

Will "The Information: OpenAI shows 'Strawberry' to..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Aug 28, 5:03 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

7.55%chance

21015

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1811

908

Will the Information Commissioner of Canada Resign in 2025?

Jul 18, 7:01 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

53.23%chance

6899

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1067

937

Will we find or make a wormhole to another observable universe that lets information flow both ways by the end of 2100?

Jul 27, 1:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.55%chance

15385

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1104

965

Are AI and its effects are the most important existential risk, given only public information available in 2021?

Mar 24, 2:35 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

89.19%chance

14354

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1329

932

Will the paper be reproduced by 2028?: Transduction of DNA information through water and electromagnetic waves

Mar 23, 7:58 PMJan 31, 7:59 AM

15.37%chance

5197

OptionVotes

YES

NO

309

99

Will "Information vs Assurance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Nov 27, 9:19 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

15%chance

11

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

93

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