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Prediction markets for The Onion
What items will be included in the first meal eaten on the Martian surface?
Apr 7, 3:27 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM
292138
OptionProbability
98
95
72
71
59
56
52
48
48
47
40
35
34
34
30
30
19
19
18
18
OptionVotes
171
59
Which of the following media outlets will close *or* undergo significant downsizing/restructuring before 2028?
Mar 2, 3:42 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
15766
OptionProbability
92
79
72
72
72
69
66
66
56
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
46
45
41
34
34
34
20
18
9
Will Apple release a cheap Vision Pro before they release a “soundbar”?
Oct 18, 10:08 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
76.06%chance
13383
OptionVotes
1225
875
OptionVotes
95
81
Will Costcos in US further devalue their hot dog and soda combo before the end of 2025?
May 8, 5:14 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM
48.95%chance
444
OptionVotes
99
79
Will Costcos in US further devalue their hot dog and soda combo before the end of 2027?
May 8, 5:16 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM
66.7%chance
435
OptionVotes
137
92
Will Costcos in US further devalue their hot dog and soda combo before the end of 2026?
May 8, 5:15 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM
58.66%chance
529
OptionVotes
116
104
Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?
May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
40.19%chance
122
OptionVotes
122
82