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Prediction markets for The Wall Street Journal
OptionVotes
2902
345
OptionVotes
1696
590
OptionVotes
6420
5689
Will Michael Saylor be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?
Mar 4, 7:47 PMFeb 5, 4:59 AM
14.83%chance
202697
OptionVotes
1443
867
Will CAISI have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026?
Jul 2, 11:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
77%chance
91676
OptionVotes
1830
547
OptionVotes
2532
395
Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?
May 27, 2:12 PMNov 20, 7:59 AM
31.26%chance
91154
OptionVotes
1483
674
Which of the following media outlets will close *or* undergo significant downsizing/restructuring before 2028?
Mar 2, 3:42 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
15766
OptionProbability
92
79
72
72
72
69
66
66
56
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
46
45
41
34
34
34
20
18
9
Will the Wall Street Journal create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Jan 9, 10:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
14.42%chance
15577
OptionVotes
1455
887
Will AI impersonation on social media cause a minimum of $50M+ in reported US corporate losses in 2026?
Feb 12, 12:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
75.8%chance
7407
OptionVotes
1050
822
US government loses more than $50 million in cryptocurrency by end of 2028
Mar 16, 10:33 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
45.42%chance
5298
OptionVotes
1096
912
OptionVotes
1061
942