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TIME Unveils First Ranking of 350 U.S. Venture Capital Firms

1 year ago

TIME Unveils 2025 List of 100 AI Leaders

1 year ago

When will Trump serve time?

Jun 29, 9:56 PMDec 1, 11:03 PM

25951940342

OptionProbability

Never

2030s

2029

2023 (NO)

2024 (NO)

2025 (NO)

2026

2027

2028

2040s or later

Will Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?

Jul 26, 4:22 AMJun 26, 6:59 AM

14.07%chance

422231816

OptionVotes

YES

5179

1032

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

Nov 30, 7:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

230164510

OptionProbability

Other

Zohran Mamdani

Donald Trump and/or JD Vance

Pope Leo XIV (Robert Prevost)

Dario Amodei

Artificial Intelligence Itself (Including 'ChatGPT', 'Gemini', etc)

Elon Musk

Xi Jinping

James Talarico

Sam Altman

Vladimir Putin

Benjamin Netanyahu

AOC

Jensen Huang

Marco Rubio

Jon Ossoff

Gavin Newsom

Jerome Powell

Sydney Sweeney

Demis Hassabis

Larry Ellison

Gen Z

Jeffrey Epstein

Ozempic (Including "Semiglutide", "GLPs", "Eli Lily", etc )

Nicholas Maduro

Mark Zuckerberg

Self Driving Cars (Including 'Waymo', 'Uber', etc)

Lisa Su

Fei-Fei Li

Humanoid Robots (Including 'Optimus', 'Atlas', etc)

Millenials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Scott Bessent

Sundar Pichai

Narendra Modi

Ursula von der Leyen

Jasmine Crockett

Graham Platner

Kevin Hassett

Gen Alpha

Claudia Sheinbaum

Cryptocurrency (Including 'Bitcoin', 'Etherium', etc)

Ahmed al-Sharaa

Prediction Markets [Or associated person, company, etc]

Bad Bunny

Kevin Warsh

Pete Hegseth

Will Starship launch one hundred times by 2030?

Apr 22, 2:12 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

49%chance

6526507

OptionVotes

YES

1391

1024

In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)

Dec 10, 1:17 PMDec 10, 11:59 PM

63.63%chance

7921645

OptionVotes

YES

2729

2049

Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?

Apr 14, 6:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.49%chance

3221616

OptionVotes

YES

29219

3422

Will the Two-term presidential time limit be repealed before the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Nov 21, 4:34 PMNov 28, 10:59 PM

7.13%chance

810234

OptionVotes

YES

20206

7879

Will Trump tout (positively promote) the possibility of default on US federal debt at any time during his second term?

Feb 2, 9:27 AMFeb 1, 1:59 PM

51.05%chance

4410157

OptionVotes

YES

10938

8979

SOAI#5: A real-time generative video game becomes the year’s most-watched title on Twitch.

Oct 9, 11:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.26%chance

346935

OptionVotes

YES

5447

184

Will Moltbook be TIME person of the year 2026?

Jan 31, 5:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.22%chance

192163

OptionVotes

YES

900

Will the Portuguese ex-prime-minister José Sócrates serve time in prison due to Operação Marquês?

Jul 4, 4:48 PMDec 31, 12:57 PM

18.23%chance

42026

OptionVotes

YES

7892

5278

Time for tismguy to have femboy pfp

Jul 11, 12:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

OptionProbability

Jul-Sep 2026

Oct-Dec 2026

Jan-Mar 2027

Apr-Jun 2027

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When will Trump serve time?

Will Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

Will Starship launch one hundred times by 2030?

In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)

Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?

Will the Two-term presidential time limit be repealed before the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Trump tout (positively promote) the possibility of default on US federal debt at any time during his second term?

SOAI#5: A real-time generative video game becomes the year’s most-watched title on Twitch.

Will Moltbook be TIME person of the year 2026?

Will the Portuguese ex-prime-minister José Sócrates serve time in prison due to Operação Marquês?

Time for tismguy to have femboy pfp

Latest stories

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