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Nissan Ends GT-R Production at Tochigi Factory After 18 Years Amid Regulatory Challenges; President Espinosa Hints at Revival

1 year ago

Stellantis Bets on Hybrid Cherokee Revival as $190 Million Fuel Fine Hits

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Stellantis Bets on Hybrid Cherokee Revival as $190 Million Fuel Fine Hits

1 year ago

Donut Battery powered car delivered by EOY 2030?

Jan 6, 2:16 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

8.94%chance

3955132

OptionVotes

YES

31934

3136

Will Toyota still be a top 3 car manufacturer by revenue in 2030?

Aug 22, 2:13 PMApr 30, 9:59 PM

49.5%chance

488166

OptionVotes

YES

1181

629

Who will be the largest players in self-driving in 2030?

Sep 2, 9:10 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

523998

OptionProbability

Tesla

BYD

Other

Huawei

Waymo

Zoox

CommaAI

Toyota

Ford

Cruise

Apple

"The Altruists" (Netflix show about FTX) prop bets

Oct 9, 12:40 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

402153

OptionProbability

SBF is shown in a bean bag chair

A Manifolder is depicted

The words "bednets" or "malaria" are spoken

FTX's investment in Anthropic is referenced

SBF's Toyota Corolla is shown

William MacCaskill appears

SBF is shown playing League of Legends

Rotten Tomatoes critics score >60% (1w after release)

The word "polycule" is spoken

Tom Brady is depicted

SBF's alleged plan to pay Trump to not run for president is referenced

Caroline's Tumblr posts are quoted from or shown on screen

The word "LessWrong" is spoken OR the LessWrong website is shown

Eliezer Yudkowsky is shown OR directly referenced

The words "Kelly Criterion" are spoken

SBF’s Tyler Cowen interview directly referenced

Reaches #1 on Netflix's Global Top 10 Shows (within 2w)

Manifold is mentioned or shown in any capacity

Who will be the top-selling car manufacturer in 2030? (number of cars)

Sep 4, 10:29 AMApr 1, 9:59 PM

342026

OptionProbability

BYD

Toyota

Tesla

Volkswagen

Other

Which will be the 3 main car sellers in the world by 2030?

Mar 7, 6:28 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

281013

OptionProbability

BYD

Toyota

Hyundai Kia

Volkswagen

Tesla

GAC Group

Li Auto

When will I be able to purchase a self-driving Toyota (or Lexus) in the USA?

Jun 2, 2:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4142

OptionProbability

2031-2032

2033-2034

2029-2030

2035-2036

2037-2038

2039-2040

2027-2028

Other

Before 2030, Toyota will be selling cars with solid-state batteries with a >=1000km range chargeable in under 15 minutes

Jul 5, 6:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

20%chance

8140

OptionVotes

YES

211

147

Will a new Toyota Celica or MR2 be announced first or at the same time?

Sep 1, 7:46 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

293

OptionProbability

New Celica announced first

New MR2 announced first

Both announced at the same time

Neither will be announced by 2030

Will Toyota stop selling hydrogen-powered cars like the Mirai by the end of 2030?

May 13, 9:44 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

66.34%chance

375

OptionVotes

YES

140

Will Toyota perform a hat trick within the first 3 rounds of the 2027 WRC season?

Oct 19, 8:13 AMMar 21, 11:59 PM

52%chance

427

OptionVotes

YES

104

Will Toyota Racing achieve better average points than Gazoo Racing for the 2027 WRC season?

Nov 3, 8:45 PMNov 29, 11:59 PM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

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Donut Battery powered car delivered by EOY 2030?

Will Toyota still be a top 3 car manufacturer by revenue in 2030?

Who will be the largest players in self-driving in 2030?

"The Altruists" (Netflix show about FTX) prop bets

Who will be the top-selling car manufacturer in 2030? (number of cars)

Which will be the 3 main car sellers in the world by 2030?

When will I be able to purchase a self-driving Toyota (or Lexus) in the USA?

Before 2030, Toyota will be selling cars with solid-state batteries with a >=1000km range chargeable in under 15 minutes

Will a new Toyota Celica or MR2 be announced first or at the same time?

Will Toyota stop selling hydrogen-powered cars like the Mirai by the end of 2030?

Will Toyota perform a hat trick within the first 3 rounds of the 2027 WRC season?

Will Toyota Racing achieve better average points than Gazoo Racing for the 2027 WRC season?

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