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Prediction markets for Transportation
Will a Tesla car or truck transport a SpaceX rocket by the end of 2029?
Dec 12, 4:35 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
18.31%chance
371949
OptionVotes
1147
946
Will flying cars become a widespread mode of individual transportation before 2032?
Feb 7, 6:19 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
6.75%chance
201455
OptionVotes
2327
823
Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030?
Jan 10, 12:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
18.04%chance
21949
OptionVotes
1073
961
Will commercial space travel become a common mode of transportation for the general public by 2030?
Jan 10, 12:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
5.11%chance
8673
OptionVotes
560
129
Will there be <5hr UK-Australia public transport by 2033?
Sep 8, 2:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6.03%chance
11626
OptionVotes
571
101
Which of these Transport for London projects will be completed before the end of 2040?
Mar 23, 9:06 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM
6256
OptionProbability
76
68
66
66
56
50
50
50
50
50
38
36
24
20
20
6
Which of these transportation achievements be achieved in the 2020s?
May 28, 4:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5160
OptionProbability
50
50
50
50
39
11
Will public transportation ridership return to pre-pandemic levels by 2030?
Oct 24, 3:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
82.75%chance
6146
OptionVotes
228
202
Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2035?
Jun 21, 2:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
25.15%chance
7133
OptionVotes
231
138
Will an organisation offer suborbital point-to-point transportation before 2030?
Oct 19, 2:32 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
29.35%chance
9124
OptionVotes
187
127
Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2045?
Jun 21, 2:39 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
36.91%chance
228
OptionVotes
86
58