Treasuries News

Ripple and SBI Holdings to Launch U.S. Dollar-Backed RLUSD Stablecoin via SBI VC Trade in Japan by Q1 2026

1 year ago

US Two- and Five-Year Yields Hit Three-Month Lows on Fed-Cut Bets

Economics

Business

US Two- and Five-Year Yields Hit Three-Month Lows on Fed-Cut Bets

1 year ago

Central Banks’ Gold Holdings Overtake U.S. Treasuries for First Time Since 1996

Economics

Business

World

Central Banks’ Gold Holdings Overtake U.S. Treasuries for First Time Since 1996

11 months ago

Japan

Economics

Business

Foreign Holdings of U.S. Treasuries Reach Record $9.13 Trillion

1 year ago

Will Bitcoin become US Treasury reserve asset by 2030?

Jul 22, 10:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

50.74%chance

3210661

OptionVotes

YES

2084

1902

Technical default on US Treasury debt by 1/20/2029

Feb 11, 12:05 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

15.96%chance

275012

OptionVotes

YES

2295

436

Will 30-year treasury yields go above 7% at any point before 2027?

Jan 16, 9:02 PMJan 5, 10:59 PM

9.16%chance

112654

OptionVotes

YES

3150

317

Will the US unilaterally restructure outstanding Treasury debt (coupon, maturity, swap) by December 31, 2030?

May 11, 2:28 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

4.94%chance

62371

OptionVotes

YES

10157

6048

10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026?

Jan 3, 2:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

77%chance

141287

OptionVotes

YES

1830

547

10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.5%+ on 12/31/2026?

Jan 3, 2:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53%chance

9768

OptionVotes

YES

1062

942

10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.0%+ on 12/31/2026?

Jan 3, 2:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68%chance

10709

OptionVotes

YES

1458

686

Will 10-year treasury yields in 2032 be higher than 3.5%?

May 27, 12:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

80%chance

15530

OptionVotes

YES

392

137

30-year Treasury yield hits 5.6% during Trump's second term?

May 30, 7:20 PMJan 19, 11:59 AM

45.76%chance

11377

OptionVotes

YES

544

436

Lowest 30 year treasury yield during 2023-2049?

Sep 3, 3:04 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10362

OptionProbability

Over 3.5%

2.5-3%

3-3.5%

2-2.5%

1.5-2%

under 1.5%

Will the US Treasury issue a new General License authorizing broad oil operations in Venezuela in 2026?

Jan 3, 8:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.13%chance

573

OptionVotes

YES

157

Will Scott Bessent leave the position of Secretary of Treasury by the end of 2027?

May 11, 11:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.91%chance

260

OptionVotes

YES

160

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Economics
Business
World
Central Banks’ Gold Holdings Overtake U.S. Treasuries for First Time Since 1996
Authors
15
11 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Japan
Regulation
Blockchains
Ripple and SBI Holdings to Launch U.S. Dollar-Backed RLUSD Stablecoin via SBI VC Trade in Japan by Q1 2026
Authors
19
1 year ago
Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Japan
Economics
Business
Foreign Holdings of U.S. Treasuries Reach Record $9.13 Trillion
Authors
7
1 year ago
Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Economics
Business
US Two- and Five-Year Yields Hit Three-Month Lows on Fed-Cut Bets
Authors
12
1 year ago

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Treasuries News

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Prediction markets for Treasuries

Prediction markets for Treasuries

Prediction markets for Treasuries

Will Bitcoin become US Treasury reserve asset by 2030?

Technical default on US Treasury debt by 1/20/2029

Will 30-year treasury yields go above 7% at any point before 2027?

Will the US unilaterally restructure outstanding Treasury debt (coupon, maturity, swap) by December 31, 2030?

10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026?

10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.5%+ on 12/31/2026?

10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.0%+ on 12/31/2026?

Will 10-year treasury yields in 2032 be higher than 3.5%?

30-year Treasury yield hits 5.6% during Trump's second term?

Lowest 30 year treasury yield during 2023-2049?

Will the US Treasury issue a new General License authorizing broad oil operations in Venezuela in 2026?

Will Scott Bessent leave the position of Secretary of Treasury by the end of 2027?

Latest stories

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