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Binance Lists PLUME After 150 Million-Token Airdrop, Price Jumps 17%

7 months ago

Trump tries to serve a third term?

Mar 31, 11:44 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

23.99%chance

39288505

OptionVotes

YES

1688

650

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Mar 7, 1:33 AMMar 14, 1:28 AM

19543677

OptionProbability

YES - The AI, without being prompted to, took actions to breach its sandbox, including to gain crypto and an external connection

NO - The authors are wrong/lying and there was no such hack

NO - The servers were hacked by an outside party, perhaps via prompt injection

NO - An employee (or other insider) was crypto-mining and made it look like the LLM

Will significant evidence emerge that Alibaba's ROME AI tried to break free?

Mar 9, 2:45 AMMar 14, 2:43 AM

11.79%chance

354112

OptionVotes

YES

2735

366

Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028?

Mar 30, 11:40 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.07%chance

592516

OptionVotes

YES

1079

947

Will Republicans lawmakers try to repeal the current presidential term limit before the 2028 election?

Nov 14, 12:10 AMNov 8, 7:59 AM

24.48%chance

171964

OptionVotes

YES

1811

587

If Trump is re-elected in 2024, will he try to hold onto power after 2028?

Jan 10, 7:45 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

28.7%chance

261864

OptionVotes

YES

1013

926

If China tries to invade Taiwan, will Japan become militarily involved?

Dec 17, 2:11 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

70.71%chance

321418

OptionVotes

YES

1011

953

In twenty years, will the best evidence show very substantial (>one quarter) declines in fertility rate (relative to couples trying equally hard to conceive in the past) due to decreasing sperm count, in at least one country?

Feb 17, 4:38 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15.01%chance

411153

OptionVotes

YES

1265

930

If we try stratospheric aerosol injection before 2030, will it go well?

Sep 30, 6:51 PMApr 4, 6:59 AM

68.15%chance

14493

OptionVotes

YES

1054

965

If China invades Taiwan will they try to cut off the US from Fentanyl?

Mar 25, 9:12 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

23.77%chance

11338

OptionVotes

YES

1217

907

Will the first Superintelligence try to end the practice of factory farming (including if only for mammals)?

Aug 18, 10:58 PMAug 18, 10:57 PM

60.71%chance

7300

OptionVotes

YES

1243

805

Will the first Super Intelligence try to end the practice of factory farming (for any species) ?

Aug 18, 10:56 PMAug 18, 10:56 PM

51.44%chance

392

OptionVotes

YES

1079

1022

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Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
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Binance Lists PLUME After 150 Million-Token Airdrop, Price Jumps 17%
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7 months ago

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Trump tries to serve a third term?

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Will significant evidence emerge that Alibaba's ROME AI tried to break free?

Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028?

Will Republicans lawmakers try to repeal the current presidential term limit before the 2028 election?

If Trump is re-elected in 2024, will he try to hold onto power after 2028?

If China tries to invade Taiwan, will Japan become militarily involved?

In twenty years, will the best evidence show very substantial (>one quarter) declines in fertility rate (relative to couples trying equally hard to conceive in the past) due to decreasing sperm count, in at least one country?

If we try stratospheric aerosol injection before 2030, will it go well?

If China invades Taiwan will they try to cut off the US from Fentanyl?

Will the first Superintelligence try to end the practice of factory farming (including if only for mammals)?

Will the first Super Intelligence try to end the practice of factory farming (for any species) ?

Latest stories

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