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Binance Lists PLUME After 150 Million-Token Airdrop, Price Jumps 17%

1 year ago

Trump tries to serve a third term?

Mar 31, 11:44 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

9%chance

429105090

OptionVotes

YES

3193

386

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Mar 7, 1:33 AMMar 14, 1:28 AM

20049319

OptionProbability

YES - The AI, without being prompted to, took actions to breach its sandbox, including to gain crypto and an external connection

NO - The authors are wrong/lying and there was no such hack

NO - The servers were hacked by an outside party, perhaps via prompt injection

NO - An employee (or other insider) was crypto-mining and made it look like the LLM

If Dems win the House or Senate in 2026, will officials try to block a working Democratic majority from being seated?

Sep 23, 6:08 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM

15.73%chance

16740693

OptionVotes

YES

24642

5236

Will significant evidence emerge that Alibaba's ROME AI tried to break free?

Mar 9, 2:45 AMMar 14, 2:43 AM

10.09%chance

364362

OptionVotes

YES

2985

335

Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028?

Mar 30, 11:40 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.72%chance

662680

OptionVotes

YES

1093

942

Will Republicans lawmakers try to repeal the current presidential term limit before the 2028 election?

Nov 14, 12:10 AMNov 8, 7:59 AM

24.48%chance

171964

OptionVotes

YES

1811

587

If Trump is re-elected in 2024, will he try to hold onto power after 2028?

Jan 10, 7:45 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

28.7%chance

261864

OptionVotes

YES

1013

926

In twenty years, will the best evidence show very substantial (>one quarter) declines in fertility rate (relative to couples trying equally hard to conceive in the past) due to decreasing sperm count, in at least one country?

Feb 17, 4:38 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15%chance

421303

OptionVotes

YES

1266

930

If China invades Taiwan will they try to cut off the US from Fentanyl?

Mar 25, 9:12 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

21%chance

12738

OptionVotes

YES

1361

865

If we try stratospheric aerosol injection before 2030, will it go well?

Sep 30, 6:51 PMApr 4, 6:59 AM

68.15%chance

14493

OptionVotes

YES

1054

965

Will the first Superintelligence try to end the practice of factory farming (including if only for mammals)?

Aug 18, 10:58 PMAug 18, 10:57 PM

53.16%chance

9475

OptionVotes

YES

1065

939

Will the first Super Intelligence try to end the practice of factory farming (for any species) ?

Aug 18, 10:56 PMDec 5, 11:56 PM

58.93%chance

8294

OptionVotes

YES

1256

878

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Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
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Binance Lists PLUME After 150 Million-Token Airdrop, Price Jumps 17%
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1 year ago

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Trump tries to serve a third term?

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

If Dems win the House or Senate in 2026, will officials try to block a working Democratic majority from being seated?

Will significant evidence emerge that Alibaba's ROME AI tried to break free?

Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028?

Will Republicans lawmakers try to repeal the current presidential term limit before the 2028 election?

If Trump is re-elected in 2024, will he try to hold onto power after 2028?

In twenty years, will the best evidence show very substantial (>one quarter) declines in fertility rate (relative to couples trying equally hard to conceive in the past) due to decreasing sperm count, in at least one country?

If China invades Taiwan will they try to cut off the US from Fentanyl?

If we try stratospheric aerosol injection before 2030, will it go well?

Will the first Superintelligence try to end the practice of factory farming (including if only for mammals)?

Will the first Super Intelligence try to end the practice of factory farming (for any species) ?

Latest stories

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