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Top stories

McDonald’s Japan Drops One Piece Happy Meal After Pokémon Card Frenzy

McDonald’s Japan Drops One Piece Happy Meal After Pokémon Card Frenzy

Authors

15

9 months ago

Prediction markets for TSE

Will Brazilian ineligibility laws be revised to allow Bolsonaro to run for office in 2026?

Feb 4, 5:35 PMAug 2, 3:59 AM

5.72%chance

1817218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15095

38

2026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner?

Feb 23, 2:52 AMOct 25, 11:59 PM

1510026

OptionProbability

Lula Da Silva

Flavio Bolsonaro

Renan Santos

Fernando Haddad

Ratinho Junior

Tarcisio de Freitas

Jair Bolsonaro

Other

44

40

5

4

2

2

2

2

How many deputies will Partido Missão elect to Brazil's Chamber of Deputies in the 2026 general election?

Nov 24, 6:11 PMOct 5, 11:59 PM

81184

OptionProbability

0-4 deputies

5-8 deputies

13+ deputies

9-12 deputies

49

21

16

15

Which Finance PhD Candidates will accept an Assistant Professor position at a top 30 Finance Department by 2026?

Nov 15, 11:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21028

OptionProbability

Tasaneeya Viratyosin (Wharton)

Chi (Clara) Xu (Wharton)

Guanyu Zhou (Wharton)

Ching-Tse Chen (Chicago)

Bianca He (Chicago)

Jessica Li (Chicago)

Meichen Qian (Chicago)

Filippo Cavaleri (Chicago)

Joanna Harris Murphy (Chicago)

Patrick Adams (MIT)

Christian Kontz (Stanford)

Pauline Liang (Stanford)

Oliver Xie (Stanford)

Edoardo Marchesi (Chicago)

26

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

24

Lula vencerá as eleicões presidenciais em 4 de Outubro de 2026?

Oct 28, 6:58 PMOct 4, 6:56 PM

11%chance

7599

OptionVotes

YES

NO

284

35

Brazil 2026 Election: Which party will win the largest bloc in Brazil’s Chamber of Deputies elected in 2026?

Dec 9, 2:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9409

OptionProbability

PT

PL

PSD

Republicanos

Other

União Brasil

36

33

17

10

10

7

Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Governor of São Paulo?

Jan 5, 2:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9259

OptionProbability

Tarcísio de Freitas

Márcio França

Ricardo Nunes

Fernando Haddad

Erika Hilton

87

12

10

10

7

Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Senator in São Paulo (SP)? (2 seats)

Feb 17, 3:54 AMOct 4, 11:59 PM

6253

OptionProbability

Riscardo Mello Araújo

Guilherme Derrite

Simone Tebet

Marina Silva

Fernando Haddad

60

58

34

20

2

Brazil 2026 Election: Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Jan 13, 9:08 PMOct 4, 11:59 PM

1181

OptionProbability

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Flávio Bolsonaro

Tarcício de Freitas

Fernando Haddad

87

76

8

8

Brazil 2026 Election: US congratulates Brazil’s 2026 election winner within 24 hours?

Jan 29, 3:47 PMOct 27, 11:59 PM

29.84%chance

10146

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

Brazil 2026 Election: Will Donald Trump publicly endorse any presidential candidate in either round?

Jan 5, 1:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.12%chance

5108

OptionVotes

NO

YES

189

53

Will the Goa Tse statue of Jose Luis Ricon be SO magnificent it becomes a work of art?

Aug 16, 3:43 AM

20

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