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Top stories

Elon Musk’s X Settles $500 Million Lawsuit Over 2022 Twitter Layoffs Affecting 6,000 Ex-Employees; Kimberly-Clark and Delta Also Reach Multi-Million Settlements

Elon Musk’s X Settles $500 Million Lawsuit Over 2022 Twitter Layoffs Affecting 6,000 Ex-Employees; Kimberly-Clark and Delta Also Reach Multi-Million Settlements

Authors

10

3 months ago

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman Backs Merge Labs to Challenge Elon Musk’s Neuralink, Twitter and Tesla

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman Backs Merge Labs to Challenge Elon Musk’s Neuralink, Twitter and Tesla

Authors

11

4 months ago

Musk Moves to Dismiss SEC Suit Over Twitter Stake Disclosure

Musk Moves to Dismiss SEC Suit Over Twitter Stake Disclosure

Authors

15

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Twitter

When will Twitter actually "collapse"?

Jul 1, 9:17 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

18428964

OptionProbability

Not before 2027

Q1 2024

Q4 2023

2025

2026

Q3 2023

Q2 2024

Q3 2024

Q4 2024

88

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

Will Twitter incorporate a prediction market into its platform by 2027?

Oct 29, 4:57 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

63.61%chance

21822671

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4174

576

Will X (formerly Twitter) release credit cards before EoY 2025?

Jul 24, 5:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3.38%chance

13922221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11240

525

Will Twitter have more users than Meta Threads in December 2025?

Jul 6, 12:59 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

92.21%chance

12916247

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6549

1064

By 2040, will Nathan Young (twitter handle @NathanpmYoung) become Prime Minister?

Nov 20, 11:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.8%chance

608578

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4140

1480

Will Manifold be acquired by Twitter by end of 2030?

Jan 26, 3:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6%chance

516722

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2495

1303

Will Twitter claim to be profitable before 2027?

Jun 17, 5:14 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

62.99%chance

696356

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1304

767

Will Twitter suffer an unrecoverable system failure by the end of 2025?

Mar 25, 8:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.41%chance

343805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2315

774

Will Mastodon have more Monthly Active Users than Twitter in 2030?

Nov 25, 9:28 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

18%chance

331723

OptionVotes

NO

YES

999

822

Will Twitter be valued at >100B?

Nov 5, 4:03 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

23%chance

291318

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1346

829

Will Twitter join the S&P 500?

Dec 31, 9:20 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

39.34%chance

14515

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1133

901

Mastodon will be more than 1% as big as Twitter in 2030

Apr 11, 3:31 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.44%chance

12280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1019

977

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