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Prediction markets for Twitter
OptionProbability
85
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
Will Twitter incorporate a prediction market into its platform by 2027?
Oct 29, 4:57 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
58.58%chance
21522356
OptionVotes
4006
684
Will X (formerly Twitter) release credit cards before EoY 2025?
Jul 24, 5:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
9.48%chance
13716453
OptionVotes
6008
839
Will Twitter have more users than Meta Threads in December 2025?
Jul 6, 12:59 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
82.79%chance
12411453
OptionVotes
3622
1447
By 2040, will Nathan Young (twitter handle @NathanpmYoung) become Prime Minister?
Nov 20, 11:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2.98%chance
598328
OptionVotes
3890
1487
OptionVotes
2445
1306
OptionVotes
1304
767
Will Twitter suffer an unrecoverable system failure by the end of 2025?
Mar 25, 8:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5.41%chance
343805
OptionVotes
2315
774
Will Mastodon have more Monthly Active Users than Twitter in 2030?
Nov 25, 9:28 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
18%chance
331723
OptionVotes
999
822
OptionVotes
1255
858
OptionVotes
1133
901
Mastodon will be more than 1% as big as Twitter in 2030
Apr 11, 3:31 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
47.44%chance
12280
OptionVotes
1019
977