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UAW News

    Prediction markets for UAW

    OptionProbability

    United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA)

    Alliance for Global Justice

    Amnesty International

    International Workers of the World (IWW)

    Democratic Socialists of America (DSA)

    UNICEF

    Media Matters for America

    Greenpeace

    Planned Parenthood

    Oxfam

    AFL-CIO

    GiveDirectly

    NAACP

    League of Conservation Voters

    Sierra Club

    The United Methodist Church (UMC)

    United Auto Workers (UAW)

    Archive Of Our Own (AO3)

    Southern Poverty Law Center

    OpenAI

    GiveWell

    American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU)

    Against Malaria Foundation (AMF)

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    15

    OptionProbability

    You can go in if your boat is in this marina right now.

    If there is a fire and your boat stored here burns up partially and is not seaworthy, can you go in?

    If your boat is here and you contracted a spot, but all legal record of that burned in a fire, are you allowed in?

    If you owned a boat which is here, but it's been molecularly exchanged for identical but different atoms by aliens, you can go in

    If your boat here sinks can you go in?

    If your boat is here and you contracted a spot, but all legal record of that burned in a fire, and the only one who remembers who is still alive is you, and you paid cash, are you allowed in?

    You can go in if you are a guest of someone who is a boat owner.

    The dock owner is not allowed to go in, unless he is or is with a boat owner

    Only official owners of a specific but unspecified boat located on the dock are allowed through

    You can go in if you own a real live seaworthy boat now anywhere in the world.

    If you privately own the company that owns the boat, you may enter

    If you stole a boat, parked it here with a legal berth lease contract, then left, and return, can you go in?

    If you are a shareholder in the company that owns the boat, you may pass

    If California becomes officially Marxist, where ownership is an exclusive right of the state, can you anyone go in at all?

    If the 24 hour video surveillance of the marina is disabled, that invalidates that sign immediately above, creating a presumption that all the signs on the fence are false, and making it the case that only non-boat owners are allowed.

    You can go in if you own any kind of boat in any condition in the world, including toy boats, model boats, Lego boats, virtual boats in baldurs gate etc.

    The gate will prevent all non-boat owners from passing. Guests and passengers must swim

    The sign isn't about who is allowed through, it's about the contents of what's on the other side. Everything beyond the fence is a Boat Owner.

    If you own 1% of a boat here you can go in

    You can go through if you open the gate

    You can go in if your spouse is a boat owner

    If you own half a boat stored here legally you can go in

    Joshua, byrne, marcus, Odoacre, firstuserhere, and at least one legalistic fan from the UAW strike claim horror show will participate

    You can go in if you have no boat, but plan to buy one someday and have a contract for a reserved berth space

    You can go through if you have a contracted and paid berth here.

    You can go in if you have a berth contract but are behind in payment.

    Bonus: people who own three boats stored here can alternate sleeping arrangements so that in any seven day period they never sleep in one more than 3 days, legally?

    This market will entirely be excluded from leagues

    You can go in if you own a Binary Oxidizing Acetylitic Thermometer.

    You can go in if you are a former boat owner but have converted it to a sailplane, which is here.

    You can go in if you are a leashed dog that doesn't own a boat, but is with a boat owner

    You can go in if you have a rental boat stored here.

    Ghosts are allowed because they say B.O.O. (Boat Owners Only), which is the password

    You can go in if your grandpa is a boat owner

    You can go in if you are ex navy.

    This market gets more than 100 bettors

    86

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    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    456

    160

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    197

    53

    Will the Columbia postdoctoral union strike by the end of 2026?

    Aug 24, 7:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    42.18%chance
    796

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    117

    85

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    110

    75

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