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Prediction markets for UC

Which university will I be admitted into?

Sep 18, 3:22 AMAug 31, 3:59 PM

2716622

OptionProbability

Oxford or Cambridge

Georgia Tech

UC San Diego

Any Ivy League school

University of Michigan - Ann Arbor

Cambridge

Oxford

I decide not to go to university for 2026-2027

UC Berkeley

Yale

Princeton

MIT

Harvard

47

35

34

31

27

26

22

18

18

15

14

10

8

Who will win the 2025 UCI Womens Elite World Championship Road Race

Jul 30, 9:11 PMSep 27, 11:59 PM

53685

OptionProbability

Demi Vollering

Other

Pauline Ferrand-Prevot

Kasia Niewiadoma

Kim Le Court Pienaar

Anna van der Breggen

Elisa Longo Borghini

Liane Lippert

Lotte Kopecky

21

20

16

11

9

6

6

5

5

Will an ASO or RCS stage race use timed segments for the mountain classification before the end of the 2025 UCI season?

Jul 19, 10:48 PMNov 1, 4:59 AM

10.36%chance

51962

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2701

100

Will there be a UCI road cycling race in Colorado in 2026?

Mar 18, 6:09 PMNov 2, 5:59 AM

27.32%chance

7903

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1631

613

What university will generate the highest number of new Nobel Laureate faculty between 2023 and 2033?

Jan 10, 7:06 AMFeb 2, 4:59 AM

5814

OptionProbability

Other

UC Berkeley

Oxford University

University of Chicago

Cambridge University

Harvard University

Princeton University

MIT

Stanford University

48

48

2

2

0

0

0

0

0

Will Elia Viviani win more UCI cycling races than Caleb Ewan in the 2025 season?

Feb 20, 8:53 AMNov 2, 4:59 AM

66.08%chance

6575

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1396

716

Will Wout van Aert ever win the UCI World Championships Elite Men's Road Race?

Aug 14, 12:55 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

25.33%chance

12446

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1272

881

Will Tom Pidcock race in the 2025-2026 UCI Cyclocross season?

Dec 17, 5:25 PMMar 2, 5:59 AM

63.92%chance

5376

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1331

751

Will California open a new UC campus before 2030?

May 18, 11:27 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

44.75%chance

5332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1111

900

Will Filippo Ganna win another UCI World Championship Time Trial title (in the men's elite class)?

Sep 5, 1:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

57.7%chance

11307

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1132

773

What company or institution will win the XTX AIMO Prize?

Dec 26, 4:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11239

OptionProbability

Open AI

Google Deepmind

Other

Anthropic

Meta

UC Berkeley

40

39

12

5

3

2

Will at least 1/5 of UC Berkeley students be wearing AR/VR goggles/glasses (to study) at the campus library by eoy 2028

Feb 19, 6:26 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25%chance

7126

OptionVotes

YES

NO

193

152

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