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Prediction markets for UC
Will UC Rusal's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 4.0 million tonnes?
May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM
58.57%chance
69585
OptionVotes
11889
8411
Will UC Rusal's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 4.0 million tonnes?
May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM
68.3%chance
49579
OptionVotes
14678
6813
OptionVotes
3611
277
OptionVotes
1164
846
OptionVotes
122
2
What university will generate the highest number of new Nobel Laureate faculty between 2023 and 2033?
Jan 10, 7:06 AMFeb 2, 4:59 AM
6824
OptionProbability
79
14
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
Will Filippo Ganna win another UCI World Championship Time Trial title (in the men's elite class)?
Sep 5, 1:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
56.17%chance
13639
OptionVotes
1156
741
OptionProbability
48
48
30
24
24
17
13
10
OptionProbability
70
12
9
4
2
1
1
OptionProbability
47
36
17
17
14
12
11
5
Will at least 1/5 of UC Berkeley students be wearing AR/VR goggles/glasses (to study) at the campus library by eoy 2028
Feb 19, 6:26 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
25%chance
7126
OptionVotes
193
152
Will I (Student at UC Irvine) Win the Barry Goldwater Fellowship before I graduate
Jun 16, 6:37 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM
37%chance
780
OptionVotes
130
77
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