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Prediction markets for Underperform
Will Susan Collins Outperform Maine's Republican Baseline in 2026?
Mar 17, 7:16 AMDec 1, 7:59 AM
97%chance
2112769
OptionVotes
5751
178
Which movies will have between $50M and $100M in the 2026 US opening weekend (FSS)?
Feb 3, 10:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
338295
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
73
69
51
50
50
21
15
13
8
8
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
94
76
15
15
14
5
3
2
1
OptionVotes
4905
805
Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?
Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM
28.12%chance
251306
OptionVotes
1669
510
OptionProbability
99
1
Will Bitcoin have underperformed the S&P 500 from May 2022 to May 2032?
May 7, 11:26 AMMay 6, 3:59 AM
40.74%chance
31890
OptionVotes
1245
774
Hollywood American Revolution film box office top 10 by July 4, 2076?
Jul 30, 8:39 AMJul 4, 10:59 PM
27.2%chance
11181
OptionVotes
164
61
Will a frontier AI lab publicly report catching one of its own models gaming a safety evaluation before the end of 2027?
Oct 30, 4:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
76%chance
496
OptionVotes
178
56
OptionVotes
110
91
Will I like the New Oxford Annotated Bible Sixth Edition?
Jul 9, 6:12 PMDec 31, 7:11 PM
56.94%chance
318
OptionVotes
115
87
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