United States Air Force News

US Military Aircraft Linked to CIA From 150th Special Operations Squadron Lands in Porto Alegre and Guarulhos, Inspected by Brazilian Authorities

1 year ago

If Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?

May 20, 7:33 AMJan 27, 10:59 PM

46.35%chance

609746

OptionVotes

YES

1076

930

Will the United States Air Force integrate an autonomous, AI-controlled fighter jet, like Lockheed's VISTA X-62, into their active service fleet by 2040?

Feb 24, 1:57 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

73.59%chance

212870

OptionVotes

YES

1221

865

Specific Events in the Iran War

Mar 2, 11:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

202167

OptionProbability

US/Israeli announce Iran navy annihilated. All surface ships bigger than 10 tons. Small subs also not counted

Regular opposition broadcasts hacking Iran TV 3 more times. Like the State TV/IRIB satellite hack.

One or more Town(s), city(s), declare as free of iran regime control for over 2 days

Interim council fractures, or all current dead or one member defects publicly

A brigade or base commander in any city switches sides

High Profile flips - 2+ named officers go on video via Starlink calling on units to stand down or defect.

100

US Strike on Mexico by EOY2026?

Feb 23, 3:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5%chance

131717

OptionVotes

YES

564

188

Confirmed overflight of US Military aircraft over Cuba in 2026

Jan 13, 3:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

85.02%chance

131010

OptionVotes

YES

1328

904

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.17%chance

16992

OptionVotes

YES

1100

977

Will the US deploy ground groups to Iran by…?

Mar 5, 8:18 AMDec 31, 8:17 AM

11876

OptionProbability

Before Dec 2026

Before Oct 2026

Before Nov 2026

Before Aug 2026

Before Sep 2026

Before Jul 2026

Before May 2026

Before Jun 2026

Before Apr 2026

What lasting peace deal will come first? Russia's or Iran's?

Aug 29, 8:29 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

30%chance

8681

OptionVotes

YES

990

102

Will the United States lose the war against Iran?

Mar 8, 10:57 PMFeb 28, 10:49 PM

78.21%chance

20674

OptionVotes

YES

189

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If Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?

Will the United States Air Force integrate an autonomous, AI-controlled fighter jet, like Lockheed's VISTA X-62, into their active service fleet by 2040?

Specific Events in the Iran War

US Strike on Mexico by EOY2026?

Confirmed overflight of US Military aircraft over Cuba in 2026

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Will the US deploy ground groups to Iran by…?

What lasting peace deal will come first? Russia's or Iran's?

Will the United States lose the war against Iran?

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