United States News
Top stories
Prediction markets for United States
OptionProbability
31
19
14
14
6
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
22
19
13
6
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
Oct 30, 4:19 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM
27.9%chance
155163363
OptionVotes
1541
679
Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
Aug 13, 7:26 PMAug 26, 10:59 PM
217108287
OptionProbability
22
21
14
11
6
5
5
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.
Dec 5, 4:35 PMJan 23, 4:59 AM
3.18%chance
6784257
OptionVotes
59346
3665
Will it become illegal to move >$50K/year out of the United States?
Apr 28, 7:34 PMJan 1, 8:33 PM
2.09%chance
2668577
OptionVotes
68438
1463
Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?
Jul 10, 8:22 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
55%chance
15148508
OptionVotes
1318
538
Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?
Apr 21, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
65%chance
9945279
OptionVotes
1262
800
OptionProbability
57
43
Will Christian Affiliation in the United States Increase Over Five Years?
Apr 25, 11:16 AMDec 31, 11:47 AM
27.7%chance
9615260
OptionVotes
9665
3727
[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
Jan 6, 11:15 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM
9.47%chance
3914674
OptionVotes
13628
3352
What will be the party of the next President of the United States?
Oct 15, 6:37 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
266885
OptionProbability
59
40
1