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Top stories

Terumo to Acquire University of Oxford Spinout OrganOx for $1.5 Billion in UK's Largest Medtech Exit Using NMP Technology

Terumo to Acquire University of Oxford Spinout OrganOx for $1.5 Billion in UK's Largest Medtech Exit Using NMP Technology

Authors

9

5 months ago

Prediction markets for University of Oxford

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.08%chance

8138437

OptionVotes

YES

NO

27819

3071

What news stories of the 2020s will be included in respected history textbooks published in the 2050s?

May 23, 7:10 AMDec 30, 7:59 AM

8519498

OptionProbability

Covid

Russia-Ukraine War

Brexit

Israel-Hamas War

US Withdrawal from Afghanistan

January 6th

LLMs

George Floyd Protests

Bitcoin

The Rise of China

Private Spaceflight

Violent repression of women in Iran

New York v Trump 2024

Russia's takeover of the US political establishment

Tigray War

BRICS Expansion

Meme stocks

Enshittification

98

97

88

82

82

82

78

75

63

63

62

57

54

53

51

40

21

13

Will Nick Bostrom (philosopher, existential risk researcher) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 12, 11:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.88%chance

281650

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1445

946

Oxford Word of the Year 2026?

Dec 28, 6:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31047

OptionProbability

Other

delegated self

ai slop

model collapse

attention poverty

86

4

4

4

4

What university will generate the highest number of new Nobel Laureate faculty between 2023 and 2033?

Jan 10, 7:06 AMFeb 2, 4:59 AM

5814

OptionProbability

Other

UC Berkeley

Oxford University

University of Chicago

Cambridge University

Harvard University

Princeton University

MIT

Stanford University

48

48

2

2

0

0

0

0

0

Would Oxbridge win University Challenge without college-level entries?

Dec 18, 9:40 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

57.65%chance

8296

OptionVotes

NO

YES

109

69

When the Chinese K visa is available, would I be able to live and work in China on it right out of the box?

Sep 24, 3:09 PMSep 24, 3:09 PM

71.88%chance

396

OptionVotes

NO

YES

160

63

Will ME/CFS blood test replicate in larger study?

Dec 22, 6:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.57%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

510

491

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