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Top stories

UNC Football’s Season-Long Hulu Docuseries to Chronicle Bill Belichick’s First Season With Tar Heels This Fall

UNC Football’s Season-Long Hulu Docuseries to Chronicle Bill Belichick’s First Season With Tar Heels This Fall

Authors

10

1 year ago

Prediction markets for University of Washington

Which Finance PhD Candidates will accept an Assistant Professor position at a top 30 Finance Department by 2026?

Nov 15, 11:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47208

OptionProbability

Chi (Clara) Xu (Wharton)

Jessica Li (Chicago)

Joanna Harris Murphy (Chicago)

Patrick Adams (MIT)

Oliver Xie (Stanford)

Meichen Qian (Chicago)

Guanyu Zhou (Wharton)

Tasaneeya Viratyosin (Wharton)

Ching-Tse Chen (Chicago)

Bianca He (Chicago)

Edoardo Marchesi (Chicago)

Filippo Cavaleri (Chicago)

Christian Kontz (Stanford)

Pauline Liang (Stanford)

97

97

97

97

97

20

9

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

Will I drop out of college?

Aug 9, 10:39 AMJun 30, 2:59 PM

23.57%chance

171044

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1364

818

American life expectancy decreases in 2025?

Apr 26, 2:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3%chance

11727

OptionVotes

YES

NO

569

18

Where will I study abroad?

Apr 28, 5:52 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

8548

OptionProbability

Cape Town, South Africa

NONE

Berlin, Germany

Madrid, Spain

Oxford, UK

Kyoto, Japan

Santiago, Chile

Washington, DC

Other

Beijing, China

Florence, Italy

New York City

Paris, France

Istanbul, Turkey

Hong Kong

Australia (mobile)

64

7

6

5

4

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will Ranga Dias have his Ph.D revoked before 2030?

Jul 29, 6:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.97%chance

361

OptionVotes

YES

NO

149

56

Will any past/current student from the University of Washington Robinson Center (University of Washington early entrance program & UW Academy for Young Scholars) win a Thiel Fellowship OR an Emergent Ventures grant by the end of 2027?

Apr 20, 10:44 PMNov 1, 8:01 AM

32.43%chance

329

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

95

Will the University of Washington Atmospheric Sciences dept lose more than 30% of its external funding btwn 2024 & 2026?

Jul 18, 3:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.45%chance

220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

99

Will any alumni/dropouts of the University of Washington Robinson Center win presidential medal of freedom by EOY2050?

Sep 21, 9:03 PMSep 29, 3:59 AM

40.98%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

Will some1 from University of Washington's "early entrance program/UW Academy"/RC win Emergent Ventures by 2030?

Sep 21, 8:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45%chance

05

OptionVotes

YES

NO

55

45

Will some1 from University of Washington's "early entrance program/UW Academy"/RC attend SPARC by 2030?

Sep 21, 8:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

50

50

WILL MATT KAEBERLEIN MAKE THE UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON GREAT AGAIN?

Sep 14, 1:18 PM

20

Out of these University of Washington professors, who is THE BEST?

Sep 2, 11:31 PM

00

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