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Top stories

UNC Football’s Season-Long Hulu Docuseries to Chronicle Bill Belichick’s First Season With Tar Heels This Fall

UNC Football’s Season-Long Hulu Docuseries to Chronicle Bill Belichick’s First Season With Tar Heels This Fall

Authors

10

3 months ago

Prediction markets for University of Washington

Which university will I be admitted into?

Sep 18, 3:22 AMAug 31, 3:59 PM

3120417

OptionProbability

Purdue (Engineering)

UIUC (Engineering)

Imperial College London

University of Washington Seattle (Engineering)

Georgia Tech

Cambridge

UC San Diego

Oxford or Cambridge

University of Michigan - Ann Arbor

Any Ivy League school

Oxford

UC Berkeley

Yale

Princeton

MIT

Harvard

I decide not to go to university for 2026-2027

52

50

45

43

35

34

34

34

28

27

22

19

15

14

9

8

5

Which Finance PhD Candidates will accept an Assistant Professor position at a top 30 Finance Department by 2026?

Nov 15, 11:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21028

OptionProbability

Tasaneeya Viratyosin (Wharton)

Chi (Clara) Xu (Wharton)

Guanyu Zhou (Wharton)

Ching-Tse Chen (Chicago)

Bianca He (Chicago)

Jessica Li (Chicago)

Meichen Qian (Chicago)

Filippo Cavaleri (Chicago)

Joanna Harris Murphy (Chicago)

Patrick Adams (MIT)

Christian Kontz (Stanford)

Pauline Liang (Stanford)

Oliver Xie (Stanford)

Edoardo Marchesi (Chicago)

26

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

24

Will I drop out of college?

Aug 9, 10:39 AMJun 30, 2:59 PM

26.89%chance

16894

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1214

869

Where will I study abroad?

Apr 28, 5:52 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

7526

OptionProbability

Cape Town, South Africa

NONE

Oxford, UK

Madrid, Spain

Santiago, Chile

Kyoto, Japan

Washington, DC

Other

Berlin, Germany

Beijing, China

Florence, Italy

New York City

Paris, France

Istanbul, Turkey

Hong Kong

Australia (mobile)

72

4

4

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will any past/current student from the University of Washington Robinson Center (University of Washington early entrance program & UW Academy for Young Scholars) win a Thiel Fellowship OR an Emergent Ventures grant by the end of 2027?

Apr 20, 10:44 PMNov 1, 8:01 AM

32.43%chance

329

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

95

Will Ranga Dias have his Ph.D revoked before 2030?

Jul 29, 6:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.55%chance

211

OptionVotes

YES

NO

99

82

Will any alumni/dropouts of the University of Washington Robinson Center win presidential medal of freedom by EOY2050?

Sep 21, 9:03 PMSep 29, 3:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will the University of Washington Atmospheric Sciences dept lose more than 30% of its external funding btwn 2024 & 2026?

Jul 18, 3:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will some1 from University of Washington's "early entrance program/UW Academy"/RC win Emergent Ventures by 2030?

Sep 21, 8:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45%chance

05

OptionVotes

YES

NO

55

45

Will some1 from University of Washington's "early entrance program/UW Academy"/RC attend SPARC by 2030?

Sep 21, 8:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

50

50

WILL MATT KAEBERLEIN MAKE THE UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON GREAT AGAIN?

Sep 14, 1:18 PM

20

Out of these University of Washington professors, who is THE BEST?

Sep 2, 11:31 PM

00

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