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Top stories

U.S. F-22 Jets Escort Putin’s Plane After Alaska Summit With Trump

US Foreign Policy

U.S. F-22 Jets Escort Putin’s Plane After Alaska Summit With Trump

Authors

11

6 months ago

Prediction markets for US Air Force

US strikes Iran by...?

Jan 30, 5:54 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

6111007

OptionProbability

June 30

March 31

Feb 28

Feb 20

Feb 13

Feb 6

Jan 31

63

51

38

26

17

4

0

If Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?

May 20, 7:33 AMJan 27, 10:59 PM

44.05%chance

589686

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1127

887

Will the US Government conduct military operations against 8 or more countries in 2026?

Jan 3, 7:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.24%chance

243861

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1089

919

Will the US conduct a targeted strike on a foreign leader on January 3, 2027?

Jan 3, 5:35 PMJan 4, 11:59 PM

3.48%chance

111118

OptionVotes

YES

NO

527

19

Will there be an armed conflict between China and the US before the end of 2030?

Sep 14, 12:22 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

23.11%chance

27908

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1005

900

Will U.S. weapons strike targets inside Iran by March 31, 2026?

Feb 1, 8:55 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM

55%chance

22757

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

US Air Force stock

Apr 13, 9:28 AMApr 14, 3:59 AM

16611

OptionProbability

YES

NO

272

255

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2035?

Oct 24, 7:38 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

88.77%chance

6265

OptionVotes

NO

YES

251

33

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?

Oct 24, 7:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

19.84%chance

6154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

55

Will the US Navy's NGAD fighter enter service before the US Air Force's?

Apr 6, 8:01 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

46.98%chance

2142

OptionVotes

YES

NO

70

69

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2030?

Oct 24, 7:35 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

40.24%chance

790

OptionVotes

YES

NO

94

85

In what year will the A-10 Warthog be retired from service from the US Air Force?

Sep 25, 5:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

332

OptionProbability

Before 2028

Before 2029

Before 2030

Before 2031

2031 or later

Before 2027

50

50

50

50

50

34

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 16, 2025
Aug 16, 2025
Russia
US Foreign Policy
Politics
U.S. F-22 Jets Escort Putin’s Plane After Alaska Summit With Trump
Authors
11
6 months ago

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