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Top stories

U.S. F-22 Jets Escort Putin’s Plane After Alaska Summit With Trump

US Foreign Policy

U.S. F-22 Jets Escort Putin’s Plane After Alaska Summit With Trump

Authors

11

1 year ago

Prediction markets for US Air Force

If Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?

May 20, 7:33 AMJan 27, 10:59 PM

46.35%chance

609746

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1076

930

Will the US Government conduct military operations against 8 or more countries in 2026?

Jan 3, 7:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.95%chance

324193

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1361

735

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.17%chance

16992

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

977

Will there be an armed conflict between China and the US before the end of 2030?

Sep 14, 12:22 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

23.11%chance

27908

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1005

900

Will the US deploy ground groups to Iran by…?

Mar 5, 8:18 AMDec 31, 8:17 AM

11876

OptionProbability

Before Dec 2026

Before Oct 2026

Before Nov 2026

Before Aug 2026

Before Sep 2026

Before Jul 2026

Before May 2026

Before Jun 2026

Before Apr 2026

39

35

35

18

13

7

5

5

2

When will the jet plane gifted by Qatar to the US and Trump replace the current Air Force One?

Dec 19, 5:21 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

9724

OptionProbability

Never or 2029 and After

Before July 2027

July-Dec 2027

Jan-June 2028

July-Dec 2028

44

40

5

5

5

Will Trump attack Cuba by the end of his term?

Mar 17, 2:03 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM

84.31%chance

17680

OptionVotes

NO

YES

232

43

Will the United States lose the war against Iran?

Mar 8, 10:57 PMFeb 28, 10:49 PM

78.21%chance

20674

OptionVotes

NO

YES

189

53

US Air Force stock

Apr 13, 9:28 AMApr 14, 3:59 AM

16611

OptionProbability

YES

NO

272

255

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?

Oct 24, 7:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

19.84%chance

6154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

55

Will the US Navy's NGAD fighter enter service before the US Air Force's?

Apr 6, 8:01 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

46.98%chance

2142

OptionVotes

YES

NO

70

69

In what year will the A-10 Warthog be retired from service from the US Air Force?

Sep 25, 5:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

539

OptionProbability

2031 or later

Before 2031

Before 2030

Before 2029

Before 2028

Before 2027

54

52

50

48

46

34

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 16, 2025
Aug 16, 2025
Russia
US Foreign Policy
Politics
U.S. F-22 Jets Escort Putin’s Plane After Alaska Summit With Trump
Authors
11
1 year ago

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