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Top stories

U.S. F-22 Jets Escort Putin’s Plane After Alaska Summit With Trump

US Foreign Policy

U.S. F-22 Jets Escort Putin’s Plane After Alaska Summit With Trump

Authors

11

4 months ago

Prediction markets for US Air Force

If Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?

May 20, 7:33 AMJan 27, 10:59 PM

46.78%chance

589636

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1067

938

Will there be an armed conflict between China and the US before the end of 2030?

Sep 14, 12:22 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

22.37%chance

26899

OptionVotes

NO

YES

996

931

US Air Force stock

Apr 13, 9:28 AMApr 14, 3:59 AM

16611

OptionProbability

YES

NO

272

255

Will the jet plane gifted by Qatar to the US be transferred to the Trump presidential library (or similar) by 2029?

May 14, 6:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40%chance

14370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

In which years will the US Congress hold UFO/UAP hearings?

Nov 15, 4:05 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

4281

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2027

2028

100

72

59

45

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2035?

Oct 24, 7:38 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

88.77%chance

6265

OptionVotes

NO

YES

251

33

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?

Oct 24, 7:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

19.84%chance

6154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

55

Will the US Navy's NGAD fighter enter service before the US Air Force's?

Apr 6, 8:01 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

46.98%chance

2142

OptionVotes

YES

NO

70

69

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2032?

Oct 24, 7:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

83.17%chance

5140

OptionVotes

NO

YES

156

28

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?

Oct 24, 7:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

78.05%chance

4129

OptionVotes

NO

YES

193

67

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2030?

Oct 24, 7:35 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

40.24%chance

790

OptionVotes

YES

NO

94

85

In what year will the A-10 Warthog be retired from service from the US Air Force?

Sep 25, 5:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

332

OptionProbability

Before 2028

Before 2029

Before 2030

Before 2031

2031 or later

Before 2027

50

50

50

50

50

34

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 16, 2025
Aug 16, 2025
Russia
US Foreign Policy
Politics
U.S. F-22 Jets Escort Putin’s Plane After Alaska Summit With Trump
Authors
11
4 months ago

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