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Top stories

Valve’s Steam Removes Hundreds of NSFW Games After Visa, MasterCard, PayPal Pressure; Itch.io Also Deindexes NSFW Titles

Valve’s Steam Removes Hundreds of NSFW Games After Visa, MasterCard, PayPal Pressure; Itch.io Also Deindexes NSFW Titles

Authors

19

16 days ago

Prediction markets for Valve

When will Valve announce a stand-alone VR headset?

Jan 16, 8:45 AMApr 1, 9:59 PM

6210837

OptionProbability

Before 2026-03-01

Before 2026-02-01

Before 2026-04-01

Before 2026-01-01

Before 2025-11-01

Before 2025-12-01

Before 2025-10-01

Before 2025-09-01

Q1 2024

Q2 2024 or earlier

Q3 2024 or earlier

Q4 2024 or earlier

Before 2025-04-01

Before 2025-07-01

Before 2025-05-01

Before 2025-06-01

Before 2025-08-01

72

71

50

35

14

14

7

2

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Microsoft acquire Valve / Steam by the end of 2025?

Jul 13, 2:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.49%chance

223070

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2216

894

What will Valve's first "3" be?

Mar 27, 11:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

512732

OptionProbability

Half-Life 3

None

Portal 3

Team Fortress 3

Left 4 Dead 3

Steam Deck 3

Valve Index 3

Counter Strike 3

Dota 3

Other

84

7

5

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

Valve Deckard VR headset release date?

Apr 22, 6:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7893

Will Valve announce a wearable, battery powered gaming PC?

Feb 15, 9:48 PMApr 9, 11:59 AM

29.35%chance

20760

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1052

965

When will Valve release a new Steam Deck after the Steam Deck OLED

Nov 22, 8:29 PMJan 2, 3:59 AM

12603

OptionProbability

2026

2025

2027

2023

2024

2028

Later than 2028 or Never

Other

66

26

3

1

1

1

1

1

Will Microsoft acquire Valve / Steam by the end of 2026?

May 13, 10:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.3%chance

11538

OptionVotes

YES

NO

542

18

Will Valve release a game with a title containing the number "3" before 2030?

Dec 10, 8:39 AMDec 14, 5:59 AM

70.27%chance

12538

OptionVotes

NO

YES

174

132

The next Valve VR device will have the following features

Mar 20, 10:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17496

OptionProbability

Prescription lenses

Wireless

Body tracking (no separate device)

Eye tracking

Base stations

Body tracking (sold with device)

Knuckle controllers

Face tracking

78

74

73

65

44

40

34

30

Will Valve release a game with the number "3" in the title before 2026?

Jan 2, 12:03 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19.32%chance

13423

OptionVotes

YES

NO

266

129

Which legendary 3rd game would Valve release first?

Nov 6, 9:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3297

OptionProbability

Half-Life 3

Portal 3

Left 4 Dead 3

Other

Team Fortress 3

Dota 3

69

8

8

8

5

2

If Valve / Steam is acquired by the end of 2026, will it be for $20B or more?

May 15, 8:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

42.15%chance

442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

117

85

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