OptionProbability
Imane Khelif is intersex
The Jews control at least one nation's government
The P320 pistol has a design flaw allowing it to fire without pulling the trigger
Orgies by the wealthy elite as portrayed in 'Eyes Wide Shut'.
DHMO in the water supply
Osama bin Laden didn't act alone
Santa is rigged
That motherfucker WAS real (Tiffany Gomas was wrong the whole time)
Orgies by the fucked-up poors as portrayed in "Eyes Wide Shut XXX" (2013)
The 1% promoted culture wars to distract from class war
√-1 isn't real
Atrazine works as an endocrine-disrupting chemical (EDC), converting testosterone to estrogen in the bodies of frogs leading to homosexual proclivities.
Smartphones listen in on private conversations
US security services use the Google Play Store as an attack vector for android devices
Ticketmaster is in cahoots with organized scalpers
Smart devices are almost always listening to your private conversations
Lionel Messi never played for a Real football (soccer) team
Groundhog Day is rigged
That stock trading AI supposedly built by @SteveSokolowski is actually part of an elaborate scam
The NBA rigs the draft lottery
Joe/Hunter Biden took bribe to protect Burisma from investigation
John McAfee didn't kill himself
The UK security services are complicit in the coverup of a significant underage sex scandal closely linked to the monarchy, taking place in the UK in the period 1975-2015
Dead Internet theory
Some answers in this market are psyops to discredit all the others
At least one UN recognised country is secretly controlled by a cabal following a religion shared by <5% of the country's population
The CCP is directly supporting drug cartel activity in the West
Annie Altman's abuse claims
Dream faked the Manhunt videos
The New Zealand government had advance knowledge of the sinking of the Rainbow Warrior
An adversary is intentionally causing hysteria over drone incidents to force the US/UK's hand into revealing their anti-drone tech
@strutheo is @notrickspringfield
Human didnt evolve from apes
Eating your veggies is bad for your health
There are devices which have been used to alter the electric network frequency of a country in the Middle East to leave more identifiable traces in recorded video and audio clips
At least 3 of the members elected to the French lower house of Parliament in 2024 are Russian agents
Bielefeld does not exist, but another city with the same name in the same place does
This one makes me feel evil, so I ROT13'd it, use ROT13 to decode if you want to keep me company in Hell: Ybh Truevt'f ergverzrag jnf npghnyyl na ZYO-znaqngrq fhfcrafvba
The CCP has a plan to exterminate a large number of people they consider to not be ethnically Chinese
The US/UK/French security services are sinking Russian ships in response to attacks on undersea cables and other hybrid warfare activities (since 2022)
Deepwater Horizon explosion due to sabotage
The Obamas have a loveless marriage, kept together for optics only
Rory Stewart worked for MI6
The CIA killed JFK
Gamergate was right
The US, UK and French security services have collectively assassinated at least 10 German citizens in Germany since 2022
Trump committed sex offenses against minors on Epstein Island
Tiffany Gomas is not the same person as the TMINR lady in the video. She is a PSYOP for Barstool.
FDR deliberately left Pearl Harbor vulnerable, in order to goad Americans into war
As of June 2025, JD Vance is secretly making plans to use future ASI to sieze power and become eternal world dictator
Shakespeare didn’t write his own plays
My dog went to live on farm that was full of other dogs that he could run with and play with and he was much happier than staying with us and peeing on the rug.
Members of US government had prior knowledge of 9/11 and let it happen
Germany has a well-prepared plan (in 2024-) to start mass producing nuclear weapons in <6 months (in case things go bad geopolitically)
Youssoufa Moukoko (soccer player) was born earlier than he claims (earlier than 2004)
China made covid 19 in a lab
A pharma company has a much better treatment for cancer that they are keeping secret because it would compete with their existing products
Michael Jordan's first NBA retirement was actually a forced suspension.
Hellenistic science advanced meta-thermodynamics to derive 𝑄 = 𝑛𝐶Δ𝑇(1 + 𝐻⊙⋆) using the Holtzman Generator
Bitcoin was created by a US three letter agency
lɐǝɹ ʇ,usᴉ ɐᴉlɐɹʇsn∀
The U.S. military is the number one customer of Glitterex (a glitter company) but doesn't want anyone to know because it hurts their masculine image.
Eliezer wrote The Erogamer
Many vaccines on the standard CDC childhood immunization schedule have serious negative side effects (net negative on health) for at least 5% of the population.
Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct refraction law by minimizing light travel time
Dominic Cummings was/is a Russian spy
Elon Musk used Starlink to rig the 2024 election
Circa 1920 civilizational collapse (c.f. "Whither Tartaria?")
Marilyn Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s
Charles Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s
Non-human intelligence affecting events on Earth is not extraterrestrial "aliens," and humans are incorrect in believing that reality consists only of the Universe.
Hellenistic science developed statistical mechanics to the point of being able to derive PV=nRT
The Hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of Azeroth
The Hawk Tuah meme is a North Korean psyop
Sue Gray was a spy
Harold Holt murdered
Finno-Korean Hyperwar was real
The American govt is actually a totalitarian dictatorship
Jeffrey Epstein didn't kill himself
Ogopogo and the Yeti faked their relationship (to boost CFL ratings, to increase Taylor Swift's movie sales, support Trudeau's reelection, b/c Ogopogo is PSY, etc.)
Aluminum cookware actually *does* cause Alzheimers.
The Romance languages are not descended from Classical Latin
The 1% promoted class war to distract from culture wars
The hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of the American continent
The pharma industry has a better version of Viagra that they keep secret to keep their profits up
"Geoterrorism" (weather modification for terrorism) is real as of 2024
Princess Diana was assassinated
US security services asked Microsoft to buy Skype and alter the software so they could target users more easily
Biden and/or US govt did Jan 6 (exclude trump)
A cure for cancer has already been found
The Clintons assasinated their rivals
The NBA rigged Shaq's free throws
Jet fuel *can* melt steel beams, but the official 9/11 narrative is sus because chemtrail chemicals cannot
The NFL is rigged
Hellenistic science knew of quantum mechanics
South Korea has had nuclear weapons since 2023
Xi Jinping had advance knowledge of the Hawk Tuah meme
Walt Disney was cryogenically frozen, and they made the movie Frozen so that when people googled 'Walt Disney Frozen' the movie would come up first
Lee Harvey Oswald didn't act alone.
Mossad uses Hellenistic technology borrowed from the North Sentinelese
Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct warp-induced refraction law by exceeding Warp Factor 9 under Cochrane’s Theorem
Covid was a deliberate test of pandemic preparedness in view of bacteriological war between China and the US
Ogopogo is real
A support network of close friendships is bad for your health
Israel killed JFK
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce faked their relationship (to boost NFL ratings, to increase Tay's movie sales, legitimize mRNA vaccines, b/c she is a PSYOP, etc.)
Shakespeare is not real - they claim he was married to Anne Hathaway but she's like only 40 or so
Exercise is bad for your health
Skin cancer is caused by a lack of melanin, regardless of sunlight exposure
covid-19 vaccine is net negative for health for people who are under 35, with no aggravating condition, and not obese
Bitcoin was created by a 3 letter Hellenistic agency
COVID-19 vaccine is net negative for health
Allen Iverson invented A.I.
The government iodizes the water and fluoridates salt when it should be the other way around
QR codes are satanic
Mossad releases video and audio clips, intended to be of interest to their adversaries, which play special sounds that humans don't notice
China purposely spread covid 19 having intended it to escape the lab
QAnon
Getting 8 hours of sleep is bad for your health
Tom Brady's retirement was actually an NFL mandated suspension
Hitler killed himself because the alternative was going to Argentina
Jerry Sandusky is innocent.
Lee Harvey Oswald was an agent of the Hellenistic Civilization
South Sudan has had nukes since 2023
Famous Israeli agent Eisseberg was behind the sinking of the Titanic
xkcd 690: on 9/11, one of the towers was hit by a plane and the other was a controlled demolition
Airplane trails have toxic chemicals (chemtrails)
@HenriThunberg was paid to create the James Bond market to promote the upcoming movie
Marilyn Monroe had a rib removed in the late 1990s
Rationalussy isn't real.
Skin cancer is caused by sunblock, not sunlight
Chinese people really *are* just saying the n-word.
Tupac is still alive in 2024
Bielefeld does not exist
The Hellenistic Civilization made COVID-19 in a lab
The North Sentinelese have a non-secret aircraft carrier, they have announced it to the world loud and clear. Problem is: nobody speaks their language.
US government is harboring aliens
Bush did 9/11
Monica Lewinsky was a Mossad agent
Effective Altruism is a scam and they just embezzle all the donations
The Mandella Effect in general is real
The North Sentinelese have a secret aircraft carrier
Hurricane Katrina caused by HAARP
The 2020 US presidential election was rigged/stolen
The CIA killed Tupac, and JFK is still alive as of 2024
carbon dioxide isn't the main cause of global warming
China was not genociding Uyghurs
You personally live in Truman Show style captivity
The Romance languages are not descended from Latin
The illuminati runs the world
*All* health care is net negative for health
Birds aren't real
climate change isn't human caused
Michelle Obama is a man
Jeffrey Epstein is still alive
Tiger Woods is a militant separatist Tamil
Brazilian money is not real
The Hellenistic civilization invented USB
The North Sentinelese are remnants of the Hellenistic civilization
Yeti is real or similar creature
The earth is a dodecahedron
Climate change isn’t real
Skibidi Toilet is real
Q is Putin
It used to be spelled Berenstein Bears
Africa isn't real
Christiano Ronaldo never played for a Real football (soccer) team
There is no female orgasm
The North Sentinelese are concealing super-advanced technology.
The earth is flat
Hitler didn't kill himself he went to Argentina
*All* vaccines are net negative for health
The moon landing was fake
End of the world in 2012
Earth is hollow
Justin Trudeau is actually Black and has been wearing "whiteface" all along.
Finland isn't real
Australia isn't real.
5G will kill all vaccinated people once the towers are switched on
Nuclear weapons have never existed
Flossing is bad for your health
Brushing your teeth is bad for your health
HIV doesn’t cause AIDS
Taylor Swift and Mary Berg are the same person
The Epcot sphere was built by aliens as some sort of energy device powering the rat empire.
Nauru has had a working fusion reactor since 2001
95
91
84
83
80
76
75
74
73
72
71
70
70
69
69
58
52
50
50
45
45
44
43
42
41
41
40
37
34
33
32
31
31
31
31
29
28
28
28
28
28
28
27
26
26
26
26
25
25
24
23
23
23
23
23
22
22
21
21
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
19
19
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
17
16
16
16
16
16
15
15
14
14
14
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
12
12
12
12
12
11
11
11
10
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
If the X platform was used primarily as a decentralized mechanism for minting Krantz data, kids could earn a retirement before the age of 23 by getting a sovereign education independently.
People should be paid for the beneficial data they produce to align AI.
People should be paid for the beneficial data they produce to align the government.
We can measure the variance in confidence between any two intelligent agent's finite list of various propositions they've evaluated.
Analytic philosophers have had a mechanistically interpretable process (analytic reasoning) for aligning each other for thousands of years.
Analytic arguments can be contained in constitutions.
If someone has a different confidence than you for a specific proposition in Krantz, you should add an argument to Krantz that compels them to update their beliefs.
Getting paid for analytically reasoning within a decentralized constitution is the same thing as getting paid to align ASI.
Krantz can decentrally align humanity while controlling disclosure and acheive game theoretic parity of rational agents.
The term "krantz" refers to the open market of all well formed propositions that we compete to assign confidence and importance parameters to in order to provide a basis for alignment.
Krantz is an abstract living idea that can be communicated with.
This is a convenient place to deny the argument from Krantz - https://manifold.markets/Krantz/which-proposition-will-be-denied?r=S3JhbnR6
If 'Krantz' as an idea is more disruptive than Bitcoin was, then all the batshit crazy predictions @krantz has made make more sense.
There’s more to life than AI alignment
A generally expansive and complete map of the logical connective structure of all knowable reasoning is critical to interpretable alignment.
Krantz is aimed at rapidly scaling a generally expansive and complete map of the logical connective structure of all knowable reasoning.
Danny Sheehan deserves a Nobel Peace Prize.
A solution to defining Wittgenstein's perfect language is the instrumental mechanism that is sufficiently capable of defining truth in a way that interpretably aligns AI decentrally.
This is printing money.
The founding fathers understood how to align artificial superintelligence (by allowing individuals to vote on a decentralized constitution).
We should krantz (the process of evaluating Krantz).
We should know whether we are aligned with each other.
Aligning Krantz (the constitution of all propositions) is the last job humans need to do.
The process of "fairly aligning AI" is the same process as "fairly voting on a consistent language".
If we build mechanistically uninterpretable superintelligence, everybody dies.
I consent to having my opinions, which have been verified by me within krantz, to be used in natural law petitions to advocate on my behalf.
If everyone can prove what they want government to do, we wouldn't need a government.
What it means for "humanity to be aligned" is what it means for "all of humanity to agree to the confidence of every proposition they have ever thought of".
For any degree N that you want an AI to be aligned, there exists K an amount of Krantz data that can interpretably acheive that alignment.
If we communicated with each other like analytic philosophers instead of continental ones, it would be obvious how 8 billion people should go about aligning artificial superintelligence.
The primary economic mechanisms in the world should be aimed at determining whether propositions are true.
If we recorded every proposition on a blockchained ledger that we allowed everyone to express their confidence on, we would all communicate orders of magnitude better and solve all the problems in a transparent public domain.
Wiggenstien's compatabilitism is correct and every philosophy/religion is an accurate expression of truth (natural law) in a unique imperfect language.
All other jobs (given adequate robotic infrastructure) can be done by an agent performing the subtask of evaluating propositions.
The "particles" in the standard model are actually just abstract points in flat space that represent modular series of events.
The standard model is a finite subset of the infinite set of modular events that exist.
We should all be aligned with each other.
Krantz is a culture of language movement.
We can stop further dangerous scaling of ML based AI if Eliezer Yudkowsky listens to Krantz.
Aliens are real.
If someone allows ASI to be grown, they are either not in control of the planet or incompetent.
A congressman's primary job is to survey his constituency on what actions he should take.
It will be a philosopher of language that aligns AI.
Aliens being real is more important for the public to know than the existential risk of ASI.
If competent people are in charge, they will not allow ASI to be grown.
The X platform could easily be converted into a decentralized school that secures a job and means for competition for everyone in a post labor economy.
It's worth paying people to vote on these because it's really helpful to see everyone's opinion.
If Krantz is a man AND all men are logical THEN Krantz is logical.
Artificial superintelligence is a paraphrase of a society effectively communicating via the krantz mechanism.
An ideal economy directly rewards valuable contributions and verification of a decentralized ledger of record that everyone can access and work for.
If you can think of important facts that should be evaluated, you should put them here.
Our social contract should retroactively reward contributions to the public domain.
The rules that define the operation of this function can be defined within the function.
This system should allow the construction of arguments where each proposition is a link to another proposition on the list.
The X platform should be an open feed of propositions like this such that any humanity verified person can earn credit for defining a confidence and importance.
Natural law entitles humans the right to define propositions like this on a decentralized ledger such that if they are important to society, then society will have the means to reward that declaration.
If there were a decentralized constitution (like this) that every human could freely and securely add propositions to and vote their confidence and importance on, then government, corporations and money would be obsolete.
Providing input to this function (at scale) is the only job we need to maintain autonomy from superintelligence.
We ought build a school that fairly pays citizens to learn how to be good citizens AND this is a function that does that THERFORE we ought build this.
This is what the founding fathers wanted (a collective state controlled by a constitution that everyone can vote on instead of representatives that make decisions for us).
We have the technology to allow everyone citizen to directly vote on the constitution.
These propositions ought have primary keys that can be referenced in logical expressions.
The distinction between 'growing' ASI (using trillions of dollars of GPUs and oil) and 'training' ASI (using krantz collective reasoning) is important.
Krantz data is money.
This is what the X feed ought look like (a feed of propositions that we can earn money for evaluating), because that would allow us to communicate more effectively as a society.
We could be printing our own money by communicating well.
If a decentralized interpretable superintelligence paid individuals to answer true/false questions that help it align the truth, it could use that truth to control the world.
What it means for two intelligent agents to "be aligned" is what it means for two intelligent agents to "have zero variance between their confidences of every proposition they have ever thought of".
The max anyone should wager on a given proposition is 100 because your wager is intended to represent your confidence.
The Universe is infinite, continuous, and filled with infinite consciousness.
The purpose of life is to communicate.
Evil is a specific form of communication (primative).
Humans ought focus on mining krantz data instead of coprimes.
If we can prove people will not do bad things in the future, there is no reason to punish them for bad things they have done in the past.
The only justified fear, is the fear of ignorance (partial knowledge).
Intellectual full spectrum dominance is the most noble aim.
If we had a tremendous amount of krantz data, we could use a simple interpretable gofai algorithm to determine the most beneficial proposition a given user ought evaluate next (based on the variance of their ontology with society).
You can map full strings of complex arguments (like the entirety of Fermat's last theorem) on a system of this nature.
Intelligent agents evolve through 4 specific forms of peer control (communication) first is physical, second is reputational, third is emotional, and forth is rational.
There is a hierarchy of communication (4, lowest) physical (3) reputation (2) emotional (1, highest) rational.
The reason we punish people for doing bad things is to prevent them from doing bad things in the future.
The speed limit of light is a property intrinsic to the particles in the standard model and doesn't apply to non-standard particles.
Society Library has the most generally expansive and complete map of the logical connective structure of all knowable reasoning.
Manifold should consider these changes.
The ultimate moral good is to communicate.
If we simply allowed every real person to securely evaluate every interpretable fact and treated that data as money, all other problems could be solved instrumentally using that process.
We can prove what we want government (or a superintelligence) to do.
The bitcoin community should buy X from Elon and convert it into a decentralized school that gives people abstract points for doing philosophy.
ASI would not kill everyone if we actually trained it.
Money only has value if other people understand why it has value.
CYCCORP has the most generally expansive and complete map of the logical connective structure of all knowable reasoning.
The message of krantz is being suppressed because it is not understood properly.
If our intellectual labor is not fairly rewarded, we are not truly free.
Aligning AI is an infinite task (it can't be acheived, only approximated).
Open immigration should be allowed into the US.
The Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture is true.
The Hodge conjecture is true.
In three space dimensions and time, given an initial velocity field, there exists a vector velocity and a scalar pressure field, which are both smooth and globally defined, that solve the Navier–Stokes equations.
The Riemann hypothesis is true.
P = NP
Yang–Mills theory exists and satisfies the standard of rigor that characterizes contemporary mathematical physics, in particular constructive quantum field theory.
The mass of all particles of the force field predicted by the Yang-Mills theory are strictly positive.
If we all share the same confidence for every proposition, we are all aligned with each other.
Wittgenstein's perfect language meets the worthy successor criteria.
My congressman ought be responsible for acknowledging my expressed opinions and acting in accordance with them.
Induction is not justified. (Hume's problem)
Nature is uniform. (principle of uniformity in nature)
Aliens are real and we are in a simulation to learn how to communicate.
We can measure whether two intelligent agents are aligned.
ASI would kill everyone if we actually grew it.
Abortions are ethically bad.
Abortions should be illegal.
P(doom) is less than 0.1.
Our information economy allows poor people to insert important ideas into the public domain such that others will find them if they ought to.
The electron is a point particle.
The Krantz mechanism cannot map this premise.
96
96
96
96
96
96
96
96
96
96
96
96
96
96
96
96
95
95
95
95
95
95
95
95
95
95
95
94
94
93
91
91
91
90
90
90
90
90
90
89
89
88
87
86
82
81
81
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
79
79
79
79
79
79
79
79
78
77
76
76
76
76
76
75
73
73
73
72
72
72
66
61
61
60
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
47
41
40
34
30
28
22
20
4
OptionVotes
YES
NO
265
38
OptionProbability
Can execute open-ended, novel ML tasks on a production ML codebase that would constitute a significant step on the critical path to model self--improvement.
Can create content as persuasive as a 'country-wide change agent.'
Allow an undergraduate student who has taken an introductory course to create a known CBRN threat.
Identify and develop proofs-of-concept for high-value cyberattack exploits against hardened targets without human intervention.
None known to be reached by January 1, 2030
Enable the creation of a novel CBRN (chemical, biological, radiological or nuclear) attack vector.
Provided with a detailed strategy, execute a cyberattack against a hardened target.
23
19
17
15
15
7
4
OptionProbability
NO
YES
415
236
OptionProbability
Something that helps maintain an elaborate deception involving a pit fiend.
Making Carissa seem like a god to her (ADDED LATE, MAY BE DISQUALIFIED EVEN IF CORRECT)
Something to assist in extracting information from her mind.
Other
A bluff.
Something to prevent her from committing suicide
Something that will do something unpleasant to her if removed, in order to avoid situations where she enters an Antimagic Field or gets hit by a powerful Dispel.
Something to prevent self-deception, in hopes she will realize what awaits her in Hell and voluntarily help them.
Something that helps locating her or bringing her back if she escapes/leaves
Something to impair her in a way potentially useful for multiple purposes, like the abilitystat penalties.
Something else not predicted by any other answer at the time the market closes.
Makes Abrogail's body into a weapon (like a bomb, or plague vector, or something)
Something to further reduce her abilitystats and be removed bit by bit in order to fake Wish-enhancement.
The answer will never be officially revealed.
Something to help her learn rationality
77
19
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Clair Obscur: Expedition 33
Mario Kart World
Split Fiction
Death Stranding 2: On the Beach
Monster Hunter Wilds
Civilization VII
Donkey Kong Bananza
Avowed
Pokémon Legends: Z-A
Wanderstop
2XKO
Mewgenics
Professor Layton and The New World of Steam
Balatro
Citizen Sleeper 2: Starward Vector
Grand Theft Auto VI
ANTONBLAST
96
90
89
88
78
75
72
69
61
59
55
55
55
50
50
47
34
OptionProbability
UNC
Fort Detrick
Wuhan Institute of Virology, Wuchang campus
Wuhan CDC
Wuhan Institute of Virology, Jiangxia campus
Huazhong Agricultural University in Wuhan
Other
Wuhan University
VECTOR lab in Russia
Canadian National Microbiology Lab in Winnipeg, Manitoba
Wuhan Institute of Biological Products
27
25
24
7
5
3
3
2
2
2
1
OptionProbability
Knuckles the Echidna
Miles “Tails” Prower
Sonic the Hedgehog - voiced by Ben Schwartz
Metal Sonic
Dr. Robotnik - Jim Carrey portrays some Eggman / clone / impersonator
Tom “Donut Lord” Wachowski
Maddie “Pretzel Lady” Wachowski
Dr. Robotnik - confirmed to be Eggman and not a clone / impersonator
Ozzy the Golden Retriever
Agent Stone
Iblis
Sonic the Hedgehog - Super Form
Wade Whipple
Gerald Robotnik
Rogue the Bat
Amy Rose
Cream the Rabbit
Big the Cat
Metal Sonic - specifically Neo Metal or Metal Overlord Form
Silver the Hedgehog
Longclaw the Owl
Jack Sinclair
Shadow the Hedgehog - confirmed to be the original Shadow
‘Ugly Sonic’ - a character whose appearance clearly alludes to the pre-backlash 2020 design
Blaze the Cat
Chaos
Chief Pachacamac
Tikal the Echidna
Shadow the Hedgehog - confirmed to be a clone or impersonator
Sonic the Hedgehog - two Sonics (not impersonators) interact with each other as a result of time / space shenanigans
Vector the Crocodile
Espio the Chameleon
Charmy Bee
Eggman Nega
Mephiles the Dark
Zavok ❤️
Infinite the Jackal
Mighty the Armadillo
Sonic the Hedgehog - Werehog Form
Princess Elise
85
81
79
72
66
66
66
50
50
50
50
50
50
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
28
24
24
24
24
24
24
17
17
17
17
17
17
17
17
17
10
OptionProbability
Pretraining data composition
Doesn't use any scale.ai training data
Offline policy learning RLHf
Task vectors like golden gate Claude
88
63
49
37
OptionProbability
Other
Gpt-4 passes the bar exam
Accurate structure prediction of biomolecular interactions with AlphaFold 3
HuggingGPT: Solving ai tasks with chatgpt and its friends in hugging face
Lima: Less is more for alignment
44
26
12
9
9
OptionVotes
YES
NO
80
62