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Ethereum Breaks $4,880 Record as Whales Shift Bets From Bitcoin
Authors
13
22 hours ago
Prediction markets for Volatility
3. Donald Trump and Elon Musk will have a messy falling-out. This will have meaningful consequences for the world of AI.
Dec 27, 8:14 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM
76.91%chance
6116934
OptionVotes
1825
548
Will the "Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?" market trading volume exceed M$10 million before Q4, 2025?
Jan 11, 11:09 AMOct 1, 10:59 PM
37.45%chance
71412
OptionVotes
1292
774
Will AI have a significant impact on a national (general) election in an OECD country by 01-01-2028?
Aug 19, 10:41 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
82.26%chance
241255
OptionVotes
1445
838
Will Bitcoin fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040?
Mar 17, 3:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
76.39%chance
13980
OptionVotes
1799
556
OptionVotes
386
26
OptionVotes
396
25
OptionVotes
311
117
OptionProbability
88
85
83
83
76
76
76
69
66
64
63
50
50
50
50
Google algorithm update causes 50% SERP volatility by November 15, 2025?
Aug 5, 10:00 PMNov 15, 9:59 PM
54.8%chance
2121
OptionVotes
1101
908
Will the 200D moving average of the CBOE VIX Index hit 14 at any point of this decade?
Mar 7, 1:25 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
54%chance
482
OptionVotes
596
527
OptionVotes
121
83
In May 2028 in Sweden, daily price and supply/demand volatility in electricity will be higher than May 2023
Jun 2, 7:40 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM
63.58%chance
528
OptionVotes
207
173