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Prediction markets for White House
Will Vivek Ramaswamy Hold an Official Position in Trump’s White House?
Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
9.85%chance
17541523
OptionVotes
7241
1026
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?
May 23, 1:11 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM
41.71%chance
16032249
OptionVotes
1182
846
Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?
May 23, 1:08 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM
87.05%chance
377352
OptionVotes
2593
386
NY Times runs an article or editorial suggesting renaming The White House
Jan 9, 4:20 AMMay 16, 6:59 AM
12.24%chance
311788
OptionVotes
1876
801
Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?
Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM
53.96%chance
151698
OptionVotes
10382
9514
OptionVotes
1616
619
Will the next Republican Speaker of the House (after Mike Johnson) be a white male?
Mar 22, 4:51 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM
83.23%chance
25779
OptionVotes
1207
925
(1k subsidy) Will Connor McGregor fight at UFC White House?
Oct 5, 5:12 AMAug 1, 5:03 AM
41.15%chance
11713
OptionVotes
1196
836
Will Trump tear down the white house before the end of his 2nd term?
Oct 24, 9:51 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM
4.2%chance
8567
OptionVotes
477
21
Will any additional major section of the White House be demolished in 2026?
Oct 24, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
18.6%chance
12426
OptionVotes
209
48
Will the champions of Super Bowl LX visit the White House after their win?
Feb 24, 2:53 PMMay 1, 3:59 AM
53.68%chance
7409
OptionVotes
1077
929
Will JK Rowling visit the White House again before 2028?
Apr 5, 3:31 PMJan 6, 6:59 AM
21.49%chance
18376
OptionVotes
1112
956
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