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Prediction markets for White House
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?
May 23, 1:11 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM
48.77%chance
229116219
OptionVotes
1025
976
Will Vivek Ramaswamy Hold an Official Position in Trump’s White House?
Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
9.46%chance
18242842
OptionVotes
7423
1007
Will the next White House Press Secretary after Katie Zachariah be a blonde woman?
Oct 16, 7:51 PMNov 14, 11:00 PM
44.91%chance
20220848
OptionVotes
1313
615
Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?
May 23, 1:08 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM
88.26%chance
397502
OptionVotes
2743
365
OptionProbability
58
42
Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?
Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM
61.66%chance
183552
OptionVotes
11364
9035
NY Times runs an article or editorial suggesting renaming The White House
Jan 9, 4:20 AMMay 16, 6:59 AM
12.24%chance
311788
OptionVotes
1876
801
Next White House Press Secretary announced before end of 2026?
Oct 30, 2:37 AMDec 30, 11:00 PM
67.67%chance
131143
OptionVotes
1344
785
Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari to hear the White House Ballroom case by the end of their 2026-2027 term?
Mar 31, 9:12 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM
44.18%chance
141005
OptionVotes
1124
890
Will JK Rowling visit the White House again before 2028?
Apr 5, 3:31 PMJan 6, 6:59 AM
14.75%chance
19839
OptionVotes
1575
856
Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027
Feb 9, 10:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.79%chance
12669
OptionVotes
1432
698
Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before Jan 20, 2031
May 14, 7:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
31.41%chance
14649
OptionVotes
1478
677
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