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Prediction markets for White House
Will Vivek Ramaswamy Hold an Official Position in Trump’s White House?
Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
9.6%chance
17541407
OptionVotes
7357
1014
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?
May 23, 1:11 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM
75.07%chance
14523253
OptionVotes
1735
576
If Trump wins will Laura Loomer be given a position in the White House or federal government by the end of 2025?
Sep 15, 5:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
20.5%chance
2713572
OptionVotes
1763
680
Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?
May 23, 1:08 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM
87.33%chance
367280
OptionVotes
2625
381
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be quoted at a White House press briefing again by the end of 2025?
May 24, 8:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
15.98%chance
306369
OptionVotes
2293
436
Will an effective accelerationist (e/acc) be in an important AI policy role for the White House before the end of 2025?
Jul 2, 11:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
54.05%chance
144432
OptionVotes
1085
922
NY Times runs an article or editorial suggesting renaming The White House
Jan 9, 4:20 AMMay 16, 6:59 AM
12.24%chance
311788
OptionVotes
1876
801
Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?
Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM
53.96%chance
151698
OptionVotes
10382
9514
Will the next Republican Speaker of the House (after Mike Johnson) be a white male?
Mar 22, 4:51 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM
83.23%chance
25779
OptionVotes
1207
925
Will the champions of Super Bowl LX visit the White House after their win?
Feb 24, 2:53 PMMay 1, 3:59 AM
53.68%chance
7409
OptionVotes
1077
929
Will JK Rowling visit the White House again before 2028?
Apr 5, 3:31 PMJan 6, 6:59 AM
21.49%chance
18376
OptionVotes
1112
956
Will Trump have 3 or more Chiefs of Staff at the White House during his term?
Nov 21, 8:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
33.41%chance
12179
OptionVotes
141
71
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