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Prediction markets for World Meteorological Organization
Will an AI model be developed before 2030 that can accurately predict local weather patterns up to 6 months in advance?
Mar 19, 8:55 AMDec 31, 7:00 PM
4.32%chance
5312069
OptionVotes
2124
894
OptionVotes
4796
819
Will the mean global temperature for every year from 2023 to 2027 be 1.1 to 1.8 degrees above the preindustrial average?
Jul 11, 3:48 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
96.41%chance
123564
OptionVotes
4203
698
Will the mean global near-surface temperature for 2023-2027 exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average?
Jul 11, 3:56 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
46.48%chance
13493
OptionVotes
1100
866
Will the World Meteorological Organization Decertify the 1913 Death Valley 134F Temperature Record During the 2020s?
Aug 22, 12:50 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
34.84%chance
9151
OptionVotes
1206
1102