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Top stories

Anthropic Nears Iconiq-Led $5 Billion Raise at $170 Billion Valuation

Anthropic Nears Iconiq-Led $5 Billion Raise at $170 Billion Valuation

Authors

42

4 days ago

Tesla Receives Shareholder Proposals on Investing in Musk’s xAI

Tesla Receives Shareholder Proposals on Investing in Musk’s xAI

Authors

12

8 days ago

xAI’s Grok Imagine Generates Images in 3.4 Seconds, Videos in Under 30 Seconds, Elon Musk Aims to Cut Video Time to 20 Seconds

xAI’s Grok Imagine Generates Images in 3.4 Seconds, Videos in Under 30 Seconds, Elon Musk Aims to Cut Video Time to 20 Seconds

Authors

9

12 hours ago

CapitalG, Nvidia Pursue Vast Data Investment Valuing AI Startup at $30 Billion

Authors

10

1 day ago

Musk’s xAI Signs EU AI Code Safety Chapter, Criticises Copyright Terms

Authors

5

2 days ago

Company Earnings

Trump Says Musk Firms Will ‘Thrive’ Despite Earlier Subsidy Threats

Authors

34

9 days ago

Prediction Markets

Elon Musk’s xAI Links With Kalshi to Embed Grok in Prediction Markets

Authors

18

9 days ago

US Domestic Policy

Trump Signals Opposition to Federal Contracts for Musk’s xAI

Authors

4

10 days ago

Prediction markets for xAI

What will be the sum of OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI's publicly reported annualized revenues by December 31st 2025?

Dec 5, 2:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4070676

OptionProbability

>$25B

$20.1-25B

$17.6-20B

$15.1-17.5B

<$5B

$5-10B

$10.1-12.5B

$12.6-15B

84

7

3

2

1

1

1

1

Will xAI Reach Major Lab Status?

Jul 15, 7:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

90.28%chance

8911284

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3759

339

Will Elon Musk's AI Company (xAI) exceed OpenAI in valuation anytime before 2035?

Mar 2, 8:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

46.34%chance

467801

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1213

226

Will xAI develop a more capable LLM than GPT-5 before 2026

Jan 3, 1:03 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

67.17%chance

385832

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1566

348

Will a company other than OpenAI, xAI, and Google top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?

Mar 5, 9:42 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

20.2%chance

495203

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1987

503

Will xAI join the voluntary commitment by OpenAI/Anthropic to AISI to share major new models w/AISI prior to release?

Aug 30, 1:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.75%chance

414079

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2152

465

Tesla buys xAI by EOY2026?

Mar 28, 10:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.87%chance

152429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2492

401

Will xAI significantly rework their alignment plan by the start of 2026?

Jul 18, 7:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.92%chance

182110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1996

249

Will xAI reach 50 million H100-equivalents in 5 years?

Jul 22, 6:31 PMJul 24, 3:59 AM

53.86%chance

122013

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

926

xAI builds truth-seeking AI before 2027?

May 7, 12:46 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

28.41%chance

121096

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1587

630

Will Tesla merge with xAI by the end of 2027?

Jun 13, 4:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.54%chance

101058

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1871

546

Will xAI release a game made entirely with AI that is better made than the best made Roblox game in the next 5 yrs?

Feb 21, 11:39 AMFeb 21, 11:59 PM

35.7%chance

7342

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1342

745

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