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Prediction markets for Yield
OptionVotes
1635
611
Will a crop disease/fungus/blight significantly decrease North American crop yields before 2026?
Jun 18, 11:20 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
14.61%chance
201670
OptionVotes
2136
647
OptionProbability
29
18
16
14
13
10
OptionVotes
468
21
Will the 10 Year Treasury Yield at closing on 12/31/2025 be 4% or higher?
Jan 2, 1:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
86.67%chance
91068
OptionVotes
255
39
Will 30-year treasury yields go above 7% at any point before 2027?
Jan 16, 9:02 PMJan 5, 10:59 PM
21.7%chance
61000
OptionVotes
1900
526
Will 10-year treasury yields in 2032 be higher than 3.5%?
May 27, 12:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
79.29%chance
15516
OptionVotes
382
139
OptionVotes
180
56
If any nuclear weapons are detonated by 2028, will any have a yield above 50 megatons?
Nov 8, 9:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.78%chance
17401
OptionVotes
1301
937
OptionProbability
30
22
18
14
10
6
Will medium duration TIPS yields go below -1% again before 2060?
Dec 17, 2:14 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM
29%chance
3108
OptionVotes
112
41
30-year Treasury yield hits 5.6% during Trump's second term?
May 30, 7:20 PMJan 19, 11:59 AM
33.63%chance
594
OptionVotes
140
71
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