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Prediction markets for Abbas
Who are all the people who will be Time Person of The Year through 2028? [Unlinked Free Response]
Oct 10, 4:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
11862202
OptionProbability
100
100
46
25
23
18
17
16
15
14
14
13
13
12
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
😈Who will go to Hell by EOY 2025 according to Manifold? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 3, 10:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
6522023
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
89
54
44
37
36
18
16
12
11
10
10
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
IRON MEN: Which 6 of these 12 politicians will keep power longer? The first six "out" go to 0%, remaining six go to 100%
Jan 8, 5:27 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM
214611
OptionProbability
91
85
78
76
66
46
43
39
23
21
17
7
Which politician on this list of 19 politicians will pass away next?
Nov 4, 1:37 PMNov 12, 6:59 AM
122893
OptionProbability
17
16
6
6
6
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
Who will be in the Israeli government following the next elections?
Nov 7, 10:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
211363
OptionProbability
65
65
65
60
59
54
50
41
39
37
35
Which of these 12 politicians will no longer be in power first? Leaving first => 100% all others go to 0%
Jan 8, 5:19 PMJan 31, 7:59 AM
15847
OptionProbability
33
21
13
9
5
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
Who will be the next world leader to die violently while in office?
Jan 1, 2:18 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
20794
OptionProbability
34
22
13
12
4
4
3
3
2
2
0
OptionProbability
57
11
9
8
8
6
OptionProbability
46
25
12
7
6
3
1
Will Mahmoud Abbas be still alive on the 1st of January 2026?
Nov 12, 7:53 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM
85.04%chance
8423
OptionVotes
238
42
Which politician on this list of 20 politicians will pass away tenth?
Feb 18, 7:16 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM
5235
OptionProbability
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
4
4
4
3
1
OptionVotes
155
58
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