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Prediction markets for Abe
OptionProbability
93
91
81
79
71
70
65
62
62
61
59
56
52
50
48
44
39
37
36
34
23
17
0
Will Tetsuya Yamagami, Shinzo Abe's assassin, be free before the end of 2026?
Nov 2, 3:38 PMDec 31, 2:59 PM
15.69%chance
12329
OptionVotes
203
45
Will there be 5 or more assassinations/executions of heads of state/government in the 2020s?
Nov 30, 11:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
75.36%chance
12296
OptionVotes
284
144
Will the Sumatran Orangutan (Pongo abelii) become extinct in the current century?
Feb 21, 5:05 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
47.52%chance
14231
OptionVotes
611
368
Will Albert Abedi (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Apr 16, 5:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.85%chance
6171
OptionVotes
280
106
OptionProbability
215
120
OptionProbability
84
11
4
0
How many episodes will the anime "Frieren: Beyond Journey's End" Season 3 have?
Apr 13, 10:01 PMApr 13, 5:38 PM
374
OptionProbability
56
16
15
12
Will Joe Abercrombie's "First Law" books be turned into a TV series by 2030?
Mar 16, 8:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30.47%chance
268
OptionVotes
137
58
OptionProbability
76
50
50
50
50
34
34
34
Will a 20+page book "abelian shear cohomology OR sheaf theory for wordcels" be written by EOY2028?
Feb 15, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
46.62%chance
27
OptionVotes
107
93

