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Prediction markets for Ace
Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?
Apr 18, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
17.49%chance
92161256
OptionVotes
112159
17112
Which of these movie franchises with 3 entries will get a 4th released before Jan 1st 2028?
Jan 19, 5:09 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
211478
OptionProbability
100
83
72
62
56
50
47
40
40
38
37
35
35
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
28
26
25
24
24
23
18
17
10
Who will win the NBA rookie of the year award in the 2025-2026 season?
Jun 26, 2:38 PMJun 25, 11:59 PM
29990
OptionProbability
86
12
1
1
Will a theory of everything (a theory that unites relativity and quantum mechanics) be found in physics by 2040?
Aug 14, 2:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
41.5%chance
11424
OptionVotes
1187
842
Will a new Ace Attorney game be released before 2027?
Oct 14, 1:10 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM
55.85%chance
7187
OptionVotes
227
176
What will be true of the partner or partners in my next romantic relationship?
Jun 18, 3:03 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
4183
OptionProbability
80
74
69
69
69
69
69
69
69
62
59
50
50
50
50
50
50
41
41
32
31
31
31
26
20
20
14
10
8
Will ACE recommend any orgs doing direct (non-research) interventions in wild animal suffering by 2030?
Jan 15, 10:46 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
64.01%chance
12178
OptionVotes
172
162
How many years will pass from AI aceing Putnam to a Millenium Prize problem getting solved?
Jan 30, 11:26 PMFeb 22, 10:59 PM
5159
OptionProbability
27
21
21
21
10
OptionProbability
133
41
Who will be on the NBA All-Rookie First Team for the 2025-2026 season?
Nov 28, 6:30 PMMay 20, 10:59 PM
175
OptionProbability
90
80
50
50
50
50
50
50
Will there be a new Ace Attorney game before "Spirit of Justice" is set in the past?
Jan 19, 9:07 AMSep 30, 10:59 AM
75.68%chance
250
OptionVotes
140
63
🏀Women's National Basketball Association (WNBA) 2026 Regular Season Games Live
Jan 21, 11:58 PMSep 20, 11:59 PM
217
OptionProbability
52
52
50
41
41
41