OptionVotes
NO
YES
1394
718
1009
979
OptionProbability
July 1 2028
July 1 2029
Jan 1 2027
July 1 2027
Jan 1 2028
Jan 1 2029
August 1 2025
July 1 2026
May 1 2026
March 1 2026
Jan 1 2026
Dec 1 2025
Sep 1 2025
July 1 2025
March 1 2025
June 1 2025
55
50
48
45
37
21
19
18
0
Deadly autonomous vehicle accident with driver present
Cybersecurity incident caused by AI written code
Any incident involving prompt injection in production
Another deadly crime planned with the use of LLMs (after Trump hotel explosion)
Any incident that results in internal investigation, caused by the use of AI by law enforcement
Cybersecurity incident caused by AI inference in production
[Duplicate]
Serious incident involving persuasion or blackmail by AI system
Deadly incident involving autonomous manufacturing equipment
Serious incident that can be directly attributed to misaligned agent behavior
Cybersecurity incident that can be directly attributed to misaligned agent behavior
Deadly incident involving autonomous military equipment
Deadly incident caused by AI medical system or equipment
Deadly autonomous vehicle accident with no driver present
100
81
72
63
62
51
44
36
35
33
32
30
25
221
146
218
46
137
73
128
78
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