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Al Gore News

    Prediction markets for Al Gore

    Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?

    Aug 21, 7:36 PMDec 31, 5:59 PM
    12882928504

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Elon Musk

    Bill Gates

    Jeff Bezos

    Mr. Beast

    Barack Obama

    Gwern Branwen

    Donald Trump

    Satoshi Nakomoto

    Robert Caro

    Kamala Harris

    Jensen Huang

    Sarah Paine

    Sam Altman

    Narendra Modi

    Joe Biden

    JD Vance

    roon

    Geoffrey Hinton

    The Mountain (Icelandic strongman)

    Terence Tao

    Ilya Sutskever

    No one, the tweet was a joke or intended to attract advertisers without referring to someone specific

    Tim Cook

    Satya Nadella

    Justin Trudeau

    Brian Shaw (_biggest_ guest yet?)

    Xi Jinping

    Dalai Lama

    Buffett

    Taylor Swift

    Lebron James

    GPT-5

    Bill Clinton

    A basketball player

    Vladimir Putin

    Benjamin Netanyahu

    Jesus Christ

    Rona Wang

    Jose Luis ricon

    Kettner Griswold

    James Koppel

    Sam Bankman-Fried

    Nancy Pelosi

    Rishi Sunak

    Keir Starmer

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    Jimmy Carter

    George W Bush

    Al Gore

    Michael Jackson

    your mom

    Mitt Romney

    one or both of his parents

    A new OpenAI AI model not called "GPT-5"

    Connor Duffy

    MBS

    pope Francis

    Scott Alexander

    Leonardo DiCaprio

    RFK Jr

    Sydney Sweeney

    growing_daniel

    greg16676935420

    Deadpool

    Shaq

    Oprah Winfrey

    Yoshua Bengio

    Sundar Pichai

    Scarlett Johansson

    Paul McCartney

    [duplicate]

    Neel Nanda

    King Charles

    Kim Jong Un

    Gavin Newsom

    Royal Palace

    [cancelled option]

    Daniel Yergin

    Peter Singer

    Gabe Newell

    Neil Gorsuch

    Stephen Breyer

    Dmitry Medvedev

    JK Rowling

    Shrek

    Sam Hyde

    [invalid answer] Multiple people e.g. a team from OpenAI

    Peter Thiel

    Marques Brownlee

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Donald Trump Jr.

    Ben Shindel

    Javier Milei

    Dylan Patel

    Joe Rogan

    Marc Andreessen

    Mike Tyson

    Jake Paul

    Matt Gaetz

    16

    13

    11

    10

    10

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will be elected president in 2028?

    Apr 24, 1:23 AMNov 3, 12:00 AM
    19911707508

    OptionProbability

    J.D. Vance

    Gavin Newsom

    Marco Rubio

    Jon Ossoff

    Other

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Kamala Harris

    Pete Buttigieg

    Josh Shapiro

    Tucker Carlson

    Andy Beshear

    Donald Trump

    Amy Klobuchar

    Raphael Warnock

    No 2028 Election

    Cory Booker

    Ivanka Trump

    Barron Trump

    Rahm Emmanuel

    AI Overlord

    Mike Johnson

    Ron DeSantis

    Joe Rogan

    Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson

    Ted Cruz

    Kanye West

    Hunter Biden

    Mike Pence

    Jared Polis

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Mark Kelly

    Bernie Sanders

    Greg Abbott

    Nikki Haley

    Stacey Abrams

    Glenn Youngkin

    Elizabeth Warren

    Roy Cooper

    Tim Scott

    Mitch Landrieu

    Michelle Lujan Grisham

    Ruben Gallego

    Katie Porter

    Joe Biden

    Wes Moore

    Ration L. Ussy

    Mark Cuban

    Tim Walz

    RFK Jr.

    Tetraspace

    Lina Khan

    Shawn Fain

    Donald Trump Jr

    Elon Musk

    Ritchie Torres

    JB Pritzker

    Taylor Swift

    Barack Obama

    Chris Murphy

    Stephen A. Smith

    Mickey Mouse

    Laura Loomer

    Abigail Spanberger

    Sam Altman

    John Fetterman

    Ro Khanna

    Tulsi Gabbard

    Al Gore

    Kathy Hochul

    [deleted]

    Josh Hawley

    Ezra Klein

    Tim Kaine

    invalid

    Brian Kemp

    David McCormick

    Andrew Yang

    Anna Paulina Luna

    Amaryllis Fox

    Duplicate - Will Resolve No

    Duplicate - Will Resolve No

    Steven Bonell (Destiny)

    Jamie Dimon

    Abrego Garcia

    Andrew Cuomo

    Chris Van Hollen

    Invalid

    invalid

    Deval Patrick

    Jasmine Crockett

    Oprah Winfrey

    Michelle Obama

    Sheldon Whitehouse

    Robert Prevost

    Harambe

    Josh Stein

    Jeff Jackson

    Rand Paul

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Elissa Slotkin

    19

    14

    14

    9

    9

    6

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    J. D. Vance

    Gavin Newsom

    Josh Shapiro

    Pete Buttigieg

    Marco Rubio

    Josh Hawley

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Jon Ossoff

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    KRANTZ (the abstract idea that evolves into a decentralized superintelligence, not the user)

    Glenn Youngkin

    Andy Beshear

    Kamala Harris

    Mark Kelly

    Ron DeSantis

    Wes Moore

    Stephen Miller

    Nikki Haley

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Elise Stefanik

    J. B. Pritzker

    Cory Booker

    Raphael Warnock

    Gina Raimondo

    Ro Khanna

    Chris Murphy

    Tammy Duckworth

    Chris Sununu

    Mark Cuban

    Donald Trump Jr.

    James Donaldson (MrBeast)

    Sam Altman

    Tim Scott

    Brian Kemp

    Kristi Noem

    Beto O'Rourke

    John Fetterman

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Tom Cotton

    Brian Schatz

    Joni Ernst

    Michael Bennet

    Tammy Baldwin

    Sarah Huckabee Sanders

    Josh Green

    Tina Kotek

    Jeff Jackson

    Ted Cruz

    Tulsi Gabbard

    Joe Rogan

    Jay Inslee

    Deval Patrick

    Eric Swalwell

    Wayne Messam

    Jared Polis

    Kirsten Gillibrand

    Julian Castro

    Dean Phillips

    Katie Britt

    Laphonza Butler

    Eric Schmitt

    Mike Lee

    Catherine Cortez Masto

    Chris Coons

    Tim Kaine

    Lisa Murkowski

    Katie Hobbs

    Spencer Cox

    Tate Reeves

    Ruben Gallego

    Erika Kirk

    Tucker Carlson

    Will Hurd

    Dan Crenshaw

    Robert F. Kennedy Jr

    Amy Klobuchar

    Andrew Yang

    Stephen Colbert

    Stephen Curry

    Markwayne Mullin

    Rand Paul

    Joe Manchin

    Kevin Stitt

    Maura Healey

    Ivanka Trump

    David Hogg

    Dwayne Johnson (The Rock)

    Taylor Swift

    Steven Kenneth Bonnell II (Destiny)

    Matt Gaetz

    Marianne Williamson

    Ezra Klein

    Mike Pence

    Jon Stewart

    DUPLICATE

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Aella

    Scott Alexander

    Zendaya

    Michelle Obama

    Kanye West

    Mitt Romney

    Sarah Palin

    Ben Shapiro

    Bernie Sanders

    Hillary Clinton

    Tim Walz

    Al Gore

    Elon Musk (Natural-born-citizen clause repealed/bypassed)

    Me

    Krantz (the user @Krantz)

    44

    22

    18

    17

    15

    13

    12

    11

    10

    10

    9

    9

    8

    8

    7

    7

    7

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    OptionProbability

    Gavin Newsom

    JD Vance

    JB Pritzker

    Pete Buttigieg

    Josh Shapiro

    Andy Beshear

    Jon Ossoff

    Marco Rubio

    Ted Cruz

    Ron DeSantis

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Kamala Harris

    Elissa Slotkin

    Glenn Youngkin

    Cory Booker

    Wes Moore

    Brian Kemp

    Chris Van Hollen

    Spencer Cox

    Nikki Haley

    James Talarico

    Ruben Gallego

    Tucker Carlson

    Tulsi Gabbard

    Will Hurd

    Stephen A. Smith

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Greg Abbott

    Donald Trump Jr.

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Kristi Noem

    Mark Cuban

    Bernie Sanders

    Steve Bannon

    Donald Trump

    Tim Walz

    Mark Milley

    Mike Johnson

    Hunter Biden

    Joe Manchin

    Al Gore

    Barack Obama

    Zohran Mamdani

    97

    82

    80

    77

    75

    75

    71

    60

    58

    56

    52

    52

    50

    49

    49

    46

    41

    40

    36

    30

    30

    29

    28

    26

    26

    25

    24

    23

    23

    21

    17

    13

    13

    13

    13

    12

    11

    11

    8

    5

    1

    1

    1

    OptionProbability

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Andy Beshear

    Josh Shapiro

    Jared Polis

    Jon Ossoff

    Mark Cuban

    Pete Buttigieg

    Wes Moore

    Abigail Spanberger

    Gavin Newsom

    Stephen A. Smith

    Andrew Cuomo

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Al Gore

    Kamala Harris

    62

    60

    59

    55

    55

    50

    50

    50

    50

    48

    48

    40

    38

    37

    36

    OptionProbability

    At least 1

    At least 2

    At least 3

    At least 4

    At least 5

    0

    At least 6

    At least 7

    At least 8

    At least 9

    At least 10

    83

    79

    57

    36

    25

    21

    12

    10

    8

    7

    5

    Will Al Gore make it to age 95?

    Nov 10, 8:00 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
    18.68%chance
    13681

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1003

    939

    Unlikely Democrats to hold office by EOY 2029?

    Dec 13, 11:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    8.21%chance
    9386

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    103

    60

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